Ensemble weather models like ECMWF and GFS drive trader consensus toward 15-17°C as the highest temperature in Ankara on March 28, with 16°C leading at 27% implied probability amid a building high-pressure system ushering mild continental air. Recent runs show peak heating in the early afternoon, but diverge on cloud cover from an approaching weak front—clearer skies tilt toward 17°C (21%), while increasing overcast favors 15°C (20.5%). Historical March highs average 12-14°C per Turkish State Meteorological Service data, making this warmer outlook notable; uncertainty persists in boundary layer mixing and urban heat effects, with final MGM observations at Esenboğa station resolving the market. Traders eye hourly forecast refinements for edges.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Ankara am 28. März?
Höchste Temperatur in Ankara am 28. März?
16°C 33%
15°C 22%
17°C 15%
13°C 14%
8°C oder niedriger
1%
9°C
4%
10°C
2%
11°C
4%
12°C
9%
13°C
14%
14°C
14%
15°C
22%
16°C
27%
17°C
21%
18°C oder höher
9%
16°C 33%
15°C 22%
17°C 15%
13°C 14%
8°C oder niedriger
1%
9°C
4%
10°C
2%
11°C
4%
12°C
9%
13°C
14%
14°C
14%
15°C
22%
16°C
27%
17°C
21%
18°C oder höher
9%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble weather models like ECMWF and GFS drive trader consensus toward 15-17°C as the highest temperature in Ankara on March 28, with 16°C leading at 27% implied probability amid a building high-pressure system ushering mild continental air. Recent runs show peak heating in the early afternoon, but diverge on cloud cover from an approaching weak front—clearer skies tilt toward 17°C (21%), while increasing overcast favors 15°C (20.5%). Historical March highs average 12-14°C per Turkish State Meteorological Service data, making this warmer outlook notable; uncertainty persists in boundary layer mixing and urban heat effects, with final MGM observations at Esenboğa station resolving the market. Traders eye hourly forecast refinements for edges.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen