Trader consensus on Polymarket places California Governor Gavin Newsom at 24% implied probability to secure the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, reflecting his national fundraising edge—over $25 million war chest—and prominent role as a vocal Trump administration critic, bolstered by recent Hollywood endorsements and term-limited executive experience despite California governance critiques. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 8% on her progressive charisma, youth appeal to the Democratic base, and expanded visibility via international forums like the Munich Security Conference in February. Jon Ossoff's 5.5% stems from his Georgia swing-state Senate victory and moderate positioning, while Kamala Harris lingers at 4% amid 2024 campaign baggage. The fragmented field could consolidate post-2026 midterms through standout primary polling, key endorsements, or scandal avoidance in this early, wide-open primary cycle.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertDemokratischer Präsidentschaftskandidat 2028
Demokratischer Präsidentschaftskandidat 2028
Gavin Newsom 24.3%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.2%
Jon Ossoff 5.5%
Kamala Harris 4.4%
$940,687,238 Vol.
$940,687,238 Vol.

Gavin Newsom
24%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
8%

Jon Ossoff
6%

Kamala Harris
4%

Josh Shapiro
4%

Pete Buttigieg
4%

Andy Beshear
2%

Jon Stewart
2%

J.B. Pritzker
2%

James Talarico
2%

Mark Kelly
2%

Ruben Gallego
2%

Wes Moore
2%

Gretchen Whitmer
1%

Ro Khanna
1%

Michelle Obama
1%

Cory Booker
1%

Rahm Emanuel
1%

Oprah Winfrey
1%

Mark Cuban
1%

Stephen A. Smith
1%

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
1%

John Fetterman
1%

Zohran Mamdani
1%

LeBron James
1%

Chelsea Clinton
1%

Chris Murphy
1%

George Clooney
1%

Liz Cheney
1%

MrBeast
1%

Roy Cooper
1%

Hillary Clinton
1%

Gina Raimondo
1%

Barack Obama
1%

Tim Walz
1%

Andrew Yang
1%

Kim Kardashian
1%

Jared Polis
1%

Phil Murphy
1%

Hunter Biden
1%

Jasmine Crockett
1%

Raphael Warnock
1%

Bernie Sanders
1%

Beto O’Rourke
1%
Gavin Newsom 24.3%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.2%
Jon Ossoff 5.5%
Kamala Harris 4.4%
$940,687,238 Vol.
$940,687,238 Vol.

Gavin Newsom
24%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
8%

Jon Ossoff
6%

Kamala Harris
4%

Josh Shapiro
4%

Pete Buttigieg
4%

Andy Beshear
2%

Jon Stewart
2%

J.B. Pritzker
2%

James Talarico
2%

Mark Kelly
2%

Ruben Gallego
2%

Wes Moore
2%

Gretchen Whitmer
1%

Ro Khanna
1%

Michelle Obama
1%

Cory Booker
1%

Rahm Emanuel
1%

Oprah Winfrey
1%

Mark Cuban
1%

Stephen A. Smith
1%

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
1%

John Fetterman
1%

Zohran Mamdani
1%

LeBron James
1%

Chelsea Clinton
1%

Chris Murphy
1%

George Clooney
1%

Liz Cheney
1%

MrBeast
1%

Roy Cooper
1%

Hillary Clinton
1%

Gina Raimondo
1%

Barack Obama
1%

Tim Walz
1%

Andrew Yang
1%

Kim Kardashian
1%

Jared Polis
1%

Phil Murphy
1%

Hunter Biden
1%

Jasmine Crockett
1%

Raphael Warnock
1%

Bernie Sanders
1%

Beto O’Rourke
1%
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ET
Abwickler
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Abwickler
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Trader consensus on Polymarket places California Governor Gavin Newsom at 24% implied probability to secure the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, reflecting his national fundraising edge—over $25 million war chest—and prominent role as a vocal Trump administration critic, bolstered by recent Hollywood endorsements and term-limited executive experience despite California governance critiques. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 8% on her progressive charisma, youth appeal to the Democratic base, and expanded visibility via international forums like the Munich Security Conference in February. Jon Ossoff's 5.5% stems from his Georgia swing-state Senate victory and moderate positioning, while Kamala Harris lingers at 4% amid 2024 campaign baggage. The fragmented field could consolidate post-2026 midterms through standout primary polling, key endorsements, or scandal avoidance in this early, wide-open primary cycle.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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