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Wird Israel bis zum 31. Januar eine großangelegte Bodenoffensive im Libanon starten?

Ja

2% chance

$83,098 Umsatz

Regeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Lebanon by January 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Lebanese territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$83,098
Enddatum
Jan 31, 2026
Erstellt am
Jan 7, 2026, 5:23 PM ET

Vorsicht vor externen Links.

Market icon

Wird Israel bis zum 31. Januar eine großangelegte Bodenoffensive im Libanon starten?

Ja

2% chance

$83,098 Umsatz

Über

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Lebanon by January 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Lebanese territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$83,098
Enddatum
Jan 31, 2026
Erstellt am
Jan 7, 2026, 5:23 PM ET

Vorsicht vor externen Links.