Polymarket | The World's Largest Prediction Market

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Fed decision in January? card icon

Fed decision in January?

50+ bps decrease

1%

25 bps decrease

19%

50+ bps decrease

1%

25 bps decrease

19%

$46m Vol.

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Will Trump release more Epstein files by...? card icon

Will Trump release more Epstein files by...?

December 22

18%

December 26

56%

December 22

18%

December 26

56%

$180k Vol.

Super Bowl Champion 2026 card icon

Super Bowl Champion 2026

Los Angeles R

15%

Buffalo

14%

Los Angeles R

15%

Buffalo

14%

$629m Vol.

Maduro out by...? card icon

Maduro out by...?

December 31, 2025

3%

January 31, 2026

14%

December 31, 2025

3%

January 31, 2026

14%

$30m Vol.

Who will be named in newly released Epstein files? card icon

Who will be named in newly released Epstein files?

Ehud Barak

26%

Tony Blair

18%

Ehud Barak

26%

Tony Blair

18%

$2m Vol.

TikTok sale announced by...? card icon

TikTok sale announced by...?

December 31

71%

March 31

94%

December 31

71%

March 31

94%

$7m Vol.

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Elon Musk # tweets December 16 - December 23, 2025? card icon

Elon Musk # tweets December 16 - December 23, 2025?

320-339

18%

340-359

26%

320-339

18%

340-359

26%

$16m Vol.

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Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair? card icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Hassett

56%

Kevin Warsh

21%

Kevin Hassett

56%

Kevin Warsh

21%

$75m Vol.

NFC West Winner card icon

NFC West Winner

Seattle

53%

Los Angeles R

24%

Seattle

53%

Los Angeles R

24%

$2m Vol.

2026 FIFA World Cup Winner card icon

2026 FIFA World Cup Winner

Spain

15%

England

13%

Spain

15%

England

13%

$28m Vol.

How many gifts will Santa deliver in 2025? card icon

How many gifts will Santa deliver in 2025?

<7.9B

<1%

8.1 - 8.2B

2%

<7.9B

<1%

8.1 - 8.2B

2%

$1m Vol.

US x Venezuela military engagement by...? card icon

US x Venezuela military engagement by...?

December 23

2%

December 31

7%

December 23

2%

December 31

7%

$41m Vol.

Lighter market cap (FDV) one day after launch? card icon

Lighter market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

>$1B

89%

>$2B

84%

>$1B

89%

>$2B

84%

$33m Vol.

Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet? card icon

Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Kristi Noem

21%

Pam Bondi

16%

Kristi Noem

21%

Pam Bondi

16%

$399k Vol.

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Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by...? card icon

Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by...?

December 31

32%

January 31

69%

December 31

32%

January 31

69%

$853k Vol.

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? card icon

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

2%

chance

$62m Vol.

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100%

0%

$2m Vol.

•NBA•Dec 21, 8:30 PM
"Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office card icon

"Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office

<90m

78%

90-101m

20%

<90m

78%

90-101m

20%

$14m Vol.

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61%

39%

$3m Vol.

•NFL•Dec 21, 6:00 PM
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 card icon

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance

54%

Marco Rubio

9%

J.D. Vance

54%

Marco Rubio

9%

$130m Vol.