Polymarket | The World's Largest Prediction Market

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Will Time 2025 Person of the Year be leaked? card icon

Will Time 2025 Person of the Year be leaked?

94%

chance

$134k Vol.

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Fed decision in January? card icon

Fed decision in January?

50+ bps decrease

2%

25 bps decrease

18%

50+ bps decrease

2%

25 bps decrease

18%

$4m Vol.

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What day will OpenAI next release a new frontier model? card icon

What day will OpenAI next release a new frontier model?

December 11

88%

December 12

10%

December 11

88%

December 12

10%

$509k Vol.

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Elon Musk # tweets December 5 - December 12, 2025? card icon

Elon Musk # tweets December 5 - December 12, 2025?

420-439

9%

440-459

20%

420-439

9%

440-459

20%

$9m Vol.

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Suns

51%

Thunder

50%

$2m Vol.

•NBA•Tomorrow 12:30 AM

Rangers

57%

Blackhawks

43%

$578k Vol.

•NHL•Tomorrow 12:30 AM

Red Wings

51%

Flames

50%

$629k Vol.

•NHL•Tomorrow 1:30 AM
Fed Derivative: Jan "25bps cut" Odds on December 10? card icon

Fed Derivative: Jan "25bps cut" Odds on December 10?

>40%

1%

>30%

1%

>40%

1%

>30%

1%

$18k Vol.

Maduro out by...? card icon

Maduro out by...?

December 31, 2025

8%

March 31, 2026

37%

December 31, 2025

8%

March 31, 2026

37%

$23m Vol.

Will Trump release Epstein files by...? card icon

Will Trump release Epstein files by...?

December 19

52%

December 31

70%

December 19

52%

December 31

70%

$4m Vol.

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair? card icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Hassett

71%

Kevin Warsh

14%

Kevin Hassett

71%

Kevin Warsh

14%

$32m Vol.

Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet? card icon

Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Kristi Noem

25%

Pete Hegseth

19%

Kristi Noem

25%

Pete Hegseth

19%

$84k Vol.

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US x Venezuela military engagement by...? card icon

US x Venezuela military engagement by...?

December 15

12%

December 31

29%

December 15

12%

December 31

29%

$36m Vol.

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? card icon

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

3%

chance

$52m Vol.

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College Football Champion 2026 card icon

College Football Champion 2026

Ohio State

32%

Indiana

21%

Ohio State

32%

Indiana

21%

$4m Vol.

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap card icon

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap

500B–600B

3%

800B–900B

8%

500B–600B

3%

800B–900B

8%

$204k Vol.

Boxing: Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua card icon

Boxing: Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua

Jake Paul

8%

Anthony Joshua

87%

Jake Paul

8%

Anthony Joshua

87%

$875k Vol.

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by...? card icon

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by...?

December 13

93%

December 31

97%

December 13

93%

December 31

97%

$2m Vol.

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Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner card icon

Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner

Ken Paxton

60%

John Cornyn

27%

Ken Paxton

60%

John Cornyn

27%

$553k Vol.

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2025? card icon

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2025?

↑ 105,000

21%

↑ 100,000

38%

↑ 105,000

21%

↑ 100,000

38%

$98m Vol.

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