When will the DHS shutdown end?

When will the DHS shutdown end?

97%

After March 31

$2M 交易量

$107K today

$31.8K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

How long will the DHS shutdown last?

How long will the DHS shutdown last?

94%

44+ days

$1M 交易量

$24.5K Liq.

Who will vote "Yea" on the DHS Appropriations Act, 2026 by March 31?

Who will vote "Yea" on the DHS Appropriations Act, 2026 by March 31?

38%

Mark Warner

$72.6K 交易量

$94.1K Liq.

1

Ends in 2 days

When will the DHS shutdown end?

When will the DHS shutdown end?

30%

April 13-16

$57.6K 交易量

$41.8K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Will Elon Musk pay TSA salaries?

Will Elon Musk pay TSA salaries?

1%

$31.4K 交易量

$14.7K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

5%

$16.6K 交易量

$11.4K Liq.

9

Ends in 9 months

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

87%

March 31

$24.4K 交易量

$22.7K Liq.

2

Ends in about 1 month

Minneapolis Border Patrol Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?

Minneapolis Border Patrol Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?

2%

$66.7K 交易量

$21.7K Liq.

8

Ends in 2 days

ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?

ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?

1%

$311K 交易量

$12.0K Liq.

27

Ends in 2 days

Anyone charged for doxing Delta Force commander heading Maduro grab by March 31?

Anyone charged for doxing Delta Force commander heading Maduro grab by March 31?

2%

$2.9K 交易量

$1.5K Liq.

2

Ends in 2 days

Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?

Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?

1%

$732K 交易量

$7.2K Liq.

146

Ends in 2 days

Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?

Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?

18%

$22.6K 交易量

$5.3K Liq.

1

Ends in 9 months

Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?

Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?

47%

December 31, 2026

$7.1K 交易量

$937 Liq.

1

Ends in 9 months

ICE shooter charged by March 31?

ICE shooter charged by March 31?

1%

$599K 交易量

$15.6K Liq.

170

U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by...?

U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by...?

99%

March 31

$1M 交易量

$43.3K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Will anyone charged over daycare fraud in MN be deported by March 31?

Will anyone charged over daycare fraud in MN be deported by March 31?

1%

$29.7K 交易量

$7.4K Liq.

3

Ends in 2 days

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

43%

June 30, 2026

$2M 交易量

$8.1K Liq.

107

Ends in 3 months

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

59%

Lori Chavez-DeRemer

$2M 交易量

$649K today

$215K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?

60%

June 30

$48.6K 交易量

$53.5K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Kash Patel out by...?

Kash Patel out by...?

30%

June 30

$55.4K 交易量

$5.6K Liq.

常见问题

Polymarket 是全球最大的预测市场,你可以通过交易与突发新闻、政治、体育、选举、加密货币、金融、科技、文化等相关的事物(包括 国土安全部 等话题)来保持信息灵通并从你的知识中获利。

Polymarket 目前拥有 108 个活跃的 国土安全部 市场,让你可以跟踪或交易如"When will the DHS shutdown end?"等预测。无论你是在跟踪广泛讨论的事件还是小众结果,该平台基于超过 $9.7M 的交易量汇聚实时赔率,提供粉丝和投资者情绪的全面视图。

每个 Polymarket 市场都是一个是/否问题,例如"ICE shooter charged by March 31?"。你可以购买"是"或"否"结果的份额。价格反映了众包的赔率和概率。例如,如果"是"的价格为 30 美分,则表示有 30% 的概率。市场根据官方结果进行结算。对于多结果事件,例如"MegaETH airdrop by...?",你只需交易你认为会获胜的特定结果即可。

截至今天,最活跃的市场是"MegaETH airdrop by...?",市场目前认为 June 30, 2026 的概率为 43%。这些赔率会随着新信息的出现和用户的交易实时更新,与传统博彩公司的赔率相比,提供了市场认为会发生什么的动态快照。

它能穿透噪音。与民调或专家评论不同,Polymarket 向你展示由金融信念支撑的 国土安全部 预测实时赔率,这些赔率通常比专家或调查更快、更准确。你可以获得数千名交易者对实际会发生什么的无偏见看法,这通常比民调更准确。此外,你可以交易份额,如果你的预测准确,还可能从中获利。