Reports from early April, including an Atlantic article citing discussions among Trump administration officials about replacing FBI Director Kash Patel following Attorney General Pam Bondi's ouster, have elevated trader consensus to 63% odds of Patel departing by December 31, amid 33% by June 30 and 15% by April 30. Confirmed by a narrow 51-49 Senate vote in February 2025, Patel's tenure has drawn scrutiny from a March 31 class-action lawsuit by fired agents alleging political retribution, earlier counterintelligence unit firings, and a late-March Iran-linked email hack. No official resignation or removal announcement has occurred, but ongoing personnel controversies and potential midterm pressures through November 2026 could accelerate changes, with resolution based on Trump administration statements or credible reporting.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$224,285 交易量
2026-06-30
April 30
15%
6月30日
33%
12月31日
63%
$224,285 交易量
April 30
$102,163 交易量
15%
6月30日
$50,570 交易量
33%
12月31日
$28,962 交易量
63%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kash Patel ceases to be the Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation for any period of by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Patel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Reports from early April, including an Atlantic article citing discussions among Trump administration officials about replacing FBI Director Kash Patel following Attorney General Pam Bondi's ouster, have elevated trader consensus to 63% odds of Patel departing by December 31, amid 33% by June 30 and 15% by April 30. Confirmed by a narrow 51-49 Senate vote in February 2025, Patel's tenure has drawn scrutiny from a March 31 class-action lawsuit by fired agents alleging political retribution, earlier counterintelligence unit firings, and a late-March Iran-linked email hack. No official resignation or removal announcement has occurred, but ongoing personnel controversies and potential midterm pressures through November 2026 could accelerate changes, with resolution based on Trump administration statements or credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kash Patel ceases to be the Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation for any period of by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Patel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Patel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Apr 2, 2026, 9:52 PM ET
交易量
$224,285市场开放时间
Apr 2, 2026, 9:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kash Patel ceases to be the Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation for any period of by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Patel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Reports from early April, including an Atlantic article citing discussions among Trump administration officials about replacing FBI Director Kash Patel following Attorney General Pam Bondi's ouster, have elevated trader consensus to 63% odds of Patel departing by December 31, amid 33% by June 30 and 15% by April 30. Confirmed by a narrow 51-49 Senate vote in February 2025, Patel's tenure has drawn scrutiny from a March 31 class-action lawsuit by fired agents alleging political retribution, earlier counterintelligence unit firings, and a late-March Iran-linked email hack. No official resignation or removal announcement has occurred, but ongoing personnel controversies and potential midterm pressures through November 2026 could accelerate changes, with resolution based on Trump administration statements or credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kash Patel ceases to be the Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation for any period of by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Patel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Patel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$224,285市场开放时间
Apr 2, 2026, 9:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Reports from early April, including an Atlantic article citing discussions among Trump administration officials about replacing FBI Director Kash Patel following Attorney General Pam Bondi's ouster, have elevated trader consensus to 63% odds of Patel departing by December 31, amid 33% by June 30 and 15% by April 30. Confirmed by a narrow 51-49 Senate vote in February 2025, Patel's tenure has drawn scrutiny from a March 31 class-action lawsuit by fired agents alleging political retribution, earlier counterintelligence unit firings, and a late-March Iran-linked email hack. No official resignation or removal announcement has occurred, but ongoing personnel controversies and potential midterm pressures through November 2026 could accelerate changes, with resolution based on Trump administration statements or credible reporting.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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