Traders' overwhelming 99.6% consensus on "No" for the ICE Shooter—acting head of Enforcement and Removal Operations at Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE)—being fired or resigning by March 31 stems from strong administration backing and no recent catalysts for change. Appointed in January under the Trump administration's Department of Homeland Security (DHS) leadership to execute mass deportation priorities, he has encountered no scandals, legal indictments, or performance shortfalls in the past 30 days, with official DHS statements reinforcing support for ICE enforcement actions. Historical patterns show low turnover for aligned executive appointees absent controversy. Realistic upset scenarios include a late-breaking congressional probe, internal White House directive, or personal health issue, but the tight timeline before resolution leaves scant room for shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于是
$310,744 交易量
$310,744 交易量
Mar 31, 2026
是
$310,744 交易量
$310,744 交易量
Mar 31, 2026
On January 7, 2026, an Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) officer committed a shooting in Minneapolis (see: https://apnews.com/article/minnesota-immigration-enforcement-shooting-crackdown-surge-173e00fa7388054e98c3b5b9417c1e5a).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the ICE Officer who fired the shots in the specified shooting ceases to be an employee of ICE for any length of time between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement of the officer’s resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
Suspensions, administrative leave, or other temporary measures will not qualify.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from ICE and the U.S. federal government; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Traders' overwhelming 99.6% consensus on "No" for the ICE Shooter—acting head of Enforcement and Removal Operations at Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE)—being fired or resigning by March 31 stems from strong administration backing and no recent catalysts for change. Appointed in January under the Trump administration's Department of Homeland Security (DHS) leadership to execute mass deportation priorities, he has encountered no scandals, legal indictments, or performance shortfalls in the past 30 days, with official DHS statements reinforcing support for ICE enforcement actions. Historical patterns show low turnover for aligned executive appointees absent controversy. Realistic upset scenarios include a late-breaking congressional probe, internal White House directive, or personal health issue, but the tight timeline before resolution leaves scant room for shifts.
On January 7, 2026, an Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) officer committed a shooting in Minneapolis (see: https://apnews.com/article/minnesota-immigration-enforcement-shooting-crackdown-surge-173e00fa7388054e98c3b5b9417c1e5a).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the ICE Officer who fired the shots in the specified shooting ceases to be an employee of ICE for any length of time between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement of the officer’s resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
Suspensions, administrative leave, or other temporary measures will not qualify.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from ICE and the U.S. federal government; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the ICE Officer who fired the shots in the specified shooting ceases to be an employee of ICE for any length of time between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement of the officer’s resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
Suspensions, administrative leave, or other temporary measures will not qualify.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from ICE and the U.S. federal government; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jan 8, 2026, 10:54 AM ET
交易量
$310,744结束日期
Mar 31, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 8, 2026, 10:54 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...On January 7, 2026, an Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) officer committed a shooting in Minneapolis (see: https://apnews.com/article/minnesota-immigration-enforcement-shooting-crackdown-surge-173e00fa7388054e98c3b5b9417c1e5a).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the ICE Officer who fired the shots in the specified shooting ceases to be an employee of ICE for any length of time between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement of the officer’s resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
Suspensions, administrative leave, or other temporary measures will not qualify.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from ICE and the U.S. federal government; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Traders' overwhelming 99.6% consensus on "No" for the ICE Shooter—acting head of Enforcement and Removal Operations at Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE)—being fired or resigning by March 31 stems from strong administration backing and no recent catalysts for change. Appointed in January under the Trump administration's Department of Homeland Security (DHS) leadership to execute mass deportation priorities, he has encountered no scandals, legal indictments, or performance shortfalls in the past 30 days, with official DHS statements reinforcing support for ICE enforcement actions. Historical patterns show low turnover for aligned executive appointees absent controversy. Realistic upset scenarios include a late-breaking congressional probe, internal White House directive, or personal health issue, but the tight timeline before resolution leaves scant room for shifts.
On January 7, 2026, an Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) officer committed a shooting in Minneapolis (see: https://apnews.com/article/minnesota-immigration-enforcement-shooting-crackdown-surge-173e00fa7388054e98c3b5b9417c1e5a).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the ICE Officer who fired the shots in the specified shooting ceases to be an employee of ICE for any length of time between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement of the officer’s resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
Suspensions, administrative leave, or other temporary measures will not qualify.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from ICE and the U.S. federal government; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the ICE Officer who fired the shots in the specified shooting ceases to be an employee of ICE for any length of time between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement of the officer’s resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
Suspensions, administrative leave, or other temporary measures will not qualify.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from ICE and the U.S. federal government; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$310,744结束日期
Mar 31, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 8, 2026, 10:54 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders' overwhelming 99.6% consensus on "No" for the ICE Shooter—acting head of Enforcement and Removal Operations at Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE)—being fired or resigning by March 31 stems from strong administration backing and no recent catalysts for change. Appointed in January under the Trump administration's Department of Homeland Security (DHS) leadership to execute mass deportation priorities, he has encountered no scandals, legal indictments, or performance shortfalls in the past 30 days, with official DHS statements reinforcing support for ICE enforcement actions. Historical patterns show low turnover for aligned executive appointees absent controversy. Realistic upset scenarios include a late-breaking congressional probe, internal White House directive, or personal health issue, but the tight timeline before resolution leaves scant room for shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题