**Incumbent Rep. Ilhan Omar's recent securing of the Minnesota DFL party endorsement on May 11 solidified her dominance in trader consensus for the August 11 MN-05 Democratic primary, reflecting robust organizational backing from delegates amid her history of fending off challengers like Don Samuels in 2022 and 2024.** Local union leader and DNC member Latonya Reeves, who announced her campaign in November 2025 as a call for change, holds second place but shows limited traction without polls or major endorsements to shift momentum. Incumbency advantages, district loyalty, and absence of competitive polling underpin Omar's implied probability, though primary turnout and late fundraising could influence the closely watched race in this Minneapolis-based battleground district.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$24,306 交易量
$24,306 交易量
2026-08-11
伊尔汗·奥马尔
84%
Latonya Reeves
14%
$24,306 交易量
$24,306 交易量
2026-08-11
伊尔汗·奥马尔
$20,096 交易量
84%
Latonya Reeves
$4,210 交易量
14%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**Incumbent Rep. Ilhan Omar's recent securing of the Minnesota DFL party endorsement on May 11 solidified her dominance in trader consensus for the August 11 MN-05 Democratic primary, reflecting robust organizational backing from delegates amid her history of fending off challengers like Don Samuels in 2022 and 2024.** Local union leader and DNC member Latonya Reeves, who announced her campaign in November 2025 as a call for change, holds second place but shows limited traction without polls or major endorsements to shift momentum. Incumbency advantages, district loyalty, and absence of competitive polling underpin Omar's implied probability, though primary turnout and late fundraising could influence the closely watched race in this Minneapolis-based battleground district.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市场开放时间： Dec 19, 2025, 4:53 PM ET
交易量
$24,306结束日期
2026-08-11市场开放时间
Dec 19, 2025, 4:53 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**Incumbent Rep. Ilhan Omar's recent securing of the Minnesota DFL party endorsement on May 11 solidified her dominance in trader consensus for the August 11 MN-05 Democratic primary, reflecting robust organizational backing from delegates amid her history of fending off challengers like Don Samuels in 2022 and 2024.** Local union leader and DNC member Latonya Reeves, who announced her campaign in November 2025 as a call for change, holds second place but shows limited traction without polls or major endorsements to shift momentum. Incumbency advantages, district loyalty, and absence of competitive polling underpin Omar's implied probability, though primary turnout and late fundraising could influence the closely watched race in this Minneapolis-based battleground district.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$24,306结束日期
2026-08-11市场开放时间
Dec 19, 2025, 4:53 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Incumbent Rep. Ilhan Omar's recent securing of the Minnesota DFL party endorsement on May 11 solidified her dominance in trader consensus for the August 11 MN-05 Democratic primary, reflecting robust organizational backing from delegates amid her history of fending off challengers like Don Samuels in 2022 and 2024.** Local union leader and DNC member Latonya Reeves, who announced her campaign in November 2025 as a call for change, holds second place but shows limited traction without polls or major endorsements to shift momentum. Incumbency advantages, district loyalty, and absence of competitive polling underpin Omar's implied probability, though primary turnout and late fundraising could influence the closely watched race in this Minneapolis-based battleground district.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题