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2026年委内瑞拉原油产量会达到每日__桶吗?

Market icon

2026年委内瑞拉原油产量会达到每日__桶吗?

$34,048 交易量

Feb 28, 2027
Polymarket

$34,048 交易量

Polymarket

100万

$0 交易量

85%

110万

$12,407 交易量

73%

120万

$0 交易量

38%

130万

$5,631 交易量

28%

140万

$16,009 交易量

13%

150万

$0 交易量

11%

170万

$0 交易量

7%

200万

$0 交易量

5%

This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month. The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row. This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.Venezuela's crude oil production has accelerated to an average 1.1 million barrels per day (bpd) in March 2026—up sharply from 942,000 bpd in February—following the U.S. Treasury's March 18 General License 52, which broadly authorizes transactions with state-owned PDVSA, easing longstanding sanctions barriers. This builds on February authorizations enabling upstream activities by majors like Chevron, aligning with U.S. Energy Secretary projections of 30%-40% annual growth amid recovering infrastructure and heightened global supply needs. Trader consensus reflects optimism on capital inflows reversing chronic underinvestment, though sustained output hinges on political stability, OPEC+ dynamics (where Venezuela is exempt from cuts), and Q2 investment execution, with EIA's next Short-Term Energy Outlook due in April providing key directional signals.

Venezuela's crude oil production has accelerated to an average 1.1 million barrels per day (bpd) in March 2026—up sharply from 942,000 bpd in February—following the U.S. Treasury's March 18 General License 52, which broadly authorizes transactions with state-owned PDVSA, easing longstanding sanctions barriers. This builds on February authorizations enabling upstream activities by majors like Chevron, aligning with U.S. Energy Secretary projections of 30%-40% annual growth amid recovering infrastructure and heightened global supply needs. Trader consensus reflects optimism on capital inflows reversing chronic underinvestment, though sustained output hinges on political stability, OPEC+ dynamics (where Venezuela is exempt from cuts), and Q2 investment execution, with EIA's next Short-Term Energy Outlook due in April providing key directional signals.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month. The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row. This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.Venezuela's crude oil production has accelerated to an average 1.1 million barrels per day (bpd) in March 2026—up sharply from 942,000 bpd in February—following the U.S. Treasury's March 18 General License 52, which broadly authorizes transactions with state-owned PDVSA, easing longstanding sanctions barriers. This builds on February authorizations enabling upstream activities by majors like Chevron, aligning with U.S. Energy Secretary projections of 30%-40% annual growth amid recovering infrastructure and heightened global supply needs. Trader consensus reflects optimism on capital inflows reversing chronic underinvestment, though sustained output hinges on political stability, OPEC+ dynamics (where Venezuela is exempt from cuts), and Q2 investment execution, with EIA's next Short-Term Energy Outlook due in April providing key directional signals.

Venezuela's crude oil production has accelerated to an average 1.1 million barrels per day (bpd) in March 2026—up sharply from 942,000 bpd in February—following the U.S. Treasury's March 18 General License 52, which broadly authorizes transactions with state-owned PDVSA, easing longstanding sanctions barriers. This builds on February authorizations enabling upstream activities by majors like Chevron, aligning with U.S. Energy Secretary projections of 30%-40% annual growth amid recovering infrastructure and heightened global supply needs. Trader consensus reflects optimism on capital inflows reversing chronic underinvestment, though sustained output hinges on political stability, OPEC+ dynamics (where Venezuela is exempt from cuts), and Q2 investment execution, with EIA's next Short-Term Energy Outlook due in April providing key directional signals.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

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常见问题

"2026年委内瑞拉原油产量会达到每日__桶吗?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 8 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"100万",概率为 85%,其次是"110万",概率为 73%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 85¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 85%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"2026年委内瑞拉原油产量会达到每日__桶吗?"已产生 $34K 的总交易量(自Jan 7, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"2026年委内瑞拉原油产量会达到每日__桶吗?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 8 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"2026年委内瑞拉原油产量会达到每日__桶吗?"的当前领先者是"100万",概率为 85%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 85%。紧随其后的结果是"110万",概率为 73%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"2026年委内瑞拉原油产量会达到每日__桶吗?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。