Venezuela's crude oil production has accelerated to an average 1.1 million barrels per day (bpd) in March 2026—up sharply from 942,000 bpd in February—following the U.S. Treasury's March 18 General License 52, which broadly authorizes transactions with state-owned PDVSA, easing longstanding sanctions barriers. This builds on February authorizations enabling upstream activities by majors like Chevron, aligning with U.S. Energy Secretary projections of 30%-40% annual growth amid recovering infrastructure and heightened global supply needs. Trader consensus reflects optimism on capital inflows reversing chronic underinvestment, though sustained output hinges on political stability, OPEC+ dynamics (where Venezuela is exempt from cuts), and Q2 investment execution, with EIA's next Short-Term Energy Outlook due in April providing key directional signals.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$34,048 交易量
100万
85%
110万
73%
120万
38%
130万
28%
140万
13%
150万
11%
170万
7%
200万
5%
$34,048 交易量
100万
85%
110万
73%
120万
38%
130万
28%
140万
13%
150万
11%
170万
7%
200万
5%
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
市场开放时间: Jan 6, 2026, 11:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Venezuela's crude oil production has accelerated to an average 1.1 million barrels per day (bpd) in March 2026—up sharply from 942,000 bpd in February—following the U.S. Treasury's March 18 General License 52, which broadly authorizes transactions with state-owned PDVSA, easing longstanding sanctions barriers. This builds on February authorizations enabling upstream activities by majors like Chevron, aligning with U.S. Energy Secretary projections of 30%-40% annual growth amid recovering infrastructure and heightened global supply needs. Trader consensus reflects optimism on capital inflows reversing chronic underinvestment, though sustained output hinges on political stability, OPEC+ dynamics (where Venezuela is exempt from cuts), and Q2 investment execution, with EIA's next Short-Term Energy Outlook due in April providing key directional signals.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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