Ousted Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro remains detained in a Brooklyn federal jail under special administrative measures following his January 2026 capture by U.S. forces amid narco-terrorism, cocaine importation, and weapons trafficking indictments. In a pretrial hearing two days ago in Manhattan federal court, a judge rejected his defense's motion to dismiss charges, with Maduro and wife Cilia Flores pleading not guilty and forgoing bail requests; he appeared thinner after nearly three months in near-total isolation. No release timeline has emerged, as prosecutors advance the case toward trial, while Venezuelan officials demand his return. Traders weigh prolonged U.S. legal proceedings against potential diplomatic pressures or plea negotiations as key factors for any custody resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$2,590,166 交易量
Jan 31, 2026
12月31日
15%
$2,590,166 交易量
12月31日
$194,717 交易量
15%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ousted Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro remains detained in a Brooklyn federal jail under special administrative measures following his January 2026 capture by U.S. forces amid narco-terrorism, cocaine importation, and weapons trafficking indictments. In a pretrial hearing two days ago in Manhattan federal court, a judge rejected his defense's motion to dismiss charges, with Maduro and wife Cilia Flores pleading not guilty and forgoing bail requests; he appeared thinner after nearly three months in near-total isolation. No release timeline has emerged, as prosecutors advance the case toward trial, while Venezuelan officials demand his return. Traders weigh prolonged U.S. legal proceedings against potential diplomatic pressures or plea negotiations as key factors for any custody resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ET
交易量
$2,590,166结束日期
Jan 31, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ousted Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro remains detained in a Brooklyn federal jail under special administrative measures following his January 2026 capture by U.S. forces amid narco-terrorism, cocaine importation, and weapons trafficking indictments. In a pretrial hearing two days ago in Manhattan federal court, a judge rejected his defense's motion to dismiss charges, with Maduro and wife Cilia Flores pleading not guilty and forgoing bail requests; he appeared thinner after nearly three months in near-total isolation. No release timeline has emerged, as prosecutors advance the case toward trial, while Venezuelan officials demand his return. Traders weigh prolonged U.S. legal proceedings against potential diplomatic pressures or plea negotiations as key factors for any custody resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$2,590,166结束日期
Jan 31, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ousted Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro remains detained in a Brooklyn federal jail under special administrative measures following his January 2026 capture by U.S. forces amid narco-terrorism, cocaine importation, and weapons trafficking indictments. In a pretrial hearing two days ago in Manhattan federal court, a judge rejected his defense's motion to dismiss charges, with Maduro and wife Cilia Flores pleading not guilty and forgoing bail requests; he appeared thinner after nearly three months in near-total isolation. No release timeline has emerged, as prosecutors advance the case toward trial, while Venezuelan officials demand his return. Traders weigh prolonged U.S. legal proceedings against potential diplomatic pressures or plea negotiations as key factors for any custody resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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