Nicolás Maduro remains detained at Brooklyn's Metropolitan Detention Center with his wife Cilia Flores, nearly 90 days after U.S. forces captured him in Caracas on January 3 amid a narco-terrorism indictment unsealed by the DOJ. In his March 26 Manhattan federal court appearance before Judge Alvin Hellerstein, Maduro sought dismissal of drug trafficking and related charges, claiming sanctions deny fair defense, but proceedings continue without bail requests or a trial date. On March 29, he shared his first jail message affirming steadfastness amid supporter letters. Venezuelan officials demand his release, while the transitional government under Acting President Delcy Rodríguez approved political prisoner amnesties. Traders weigh prolonged U.S. prosecution against potential diplomatic pressures or legal appeals as key resolution factors.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$2,590,166 交易量
Jan 31, 2026
12月31日
16%
$2,590,166 交易量
12月31日
$194,717 交易量
16%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro remains detained at Brooklyn's Metropolitan Detention Center with his wife Cilia Flores, nearly 90 days after U.S. forces captured him in Caracas on January 3 amid a narco-terrorism indictment unsealed by the DOJ. In his March 26 Manhattan federal court appearance before Judge Alvin Hellerstein, Maduro sought dismissal of drug trafficking and related charges, claiming sanctions deny fair defense, but proceedings continue without bail requests or a trial date. On March 29, he shared his first jail message affirming steadfastness amid supporter letters. Venezuelan officials demand his release, while the transitional government under Acting President Delcy Rodríguez approved political prisoner amnesties. Traders weigh prolonged U.S. prosecution against potential diplomatic pressures or legal appeals as key resolution factors.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ET
交易量
$2,590,166结束日期
Jan 31, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro remains detained at Brooklyn's Metropolitan Detention Center with his wife Cilia Flores, nearly 90 days after U.S. forces captured him in Caracas on January 3 amid a narco-terrorism indictment unsealed by the DOJ. In his March 26 Manhattan federal court appearance before Judge Alvin Hellerstein, Maduro sought dismissal of drug trafficking and related charges, claiming sanctions deny fair defense, but proceedings continue without bail requests or a trial date. On March 29, he shared his first jail message affirming steadfastness amid supporter letters. Venezuelan officials demand his release, while the transitional government under Acting President Delcy Rodríguez approved political prisoner amnesties. Traders weigh prolonged U.S. prosecution against potential diplomatic pressures or legal appeals as key resolution factors.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$2,590,166结束日期
Jan 31, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Nicolás Maduro remains detained at Brooklyn's Metropolitan Detention Center with his wife Cilia Flores, nearly 90 days after U.S. forces captured him in Caracas on January 3 amid a narco-terrorism indictment unsealed by the DOJ. In his March 26 Manhattan federal court appearance before Judge Alvin Hellerstein, Maduro sought dismissal of drug trafficking and related charges, claiming sanctions deny fair defense, but proceedings continue without bail requests or a trial date. On March 29, he shared his first jail message affirming steadfastness amid supporter letters. Venezuelan officials demand his release, while the transitional government under Acting President Delcy Rodríguez approved political prisoner amnesties. Traders weigh prolonged U.S. prosecution against potential diplomatic pressures or legal appeals as key resolution factors.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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