Market icon

Congress pay raise removed from funding bill by Friday?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$1,663,429 交易量

It was reported on Dec 18 that some lawmakers are not happy with the fact that the continuing resolution (CR) includes a pay bump (see https://www.politico.com/live-updates/2024/12/18/congress/congress-pay-raise-increase-00195089).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if congress's pay raise is removed from the CR, i.e. language blocking a congressional pay raise is restored, by December 20, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

This market will resolve based on whether the language is re-added in the CR at any point, regardless of if the CR eventually passes or not.

The primary resolution source will be the text of the CR, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,663,429
结束日期
Dec 20, 2024
创建时间
Dec 18, 2024, 11:49 AM ET
It was reported on Dec 18 that some lawmakers are not happy with the fact that the continuing resolution (CR) includes a pay bump (see https://www.politico.com/live-updates/2024/12/18/congress/congress-pay-raise-increase-00195089). This market will resolve to "Yes" if congress's pay raise is removed from the CR, i.e. language blocking a congressional pay raise is restored, by December 20, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on whether the language is re-added in the CR at any point, regardless of if the CR eventually passes or not. The primary resolution source will be the text of the CR, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

已提议结果: No

有争议

已提议结果: Yes

有争议

最终结果: Yes

警惕外部链接哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Congress pay raise removed from funding bill by Friday?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 100% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 100¢, the market collectively assigns a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Congress pay raise removed from funding bill by Friday?" has generated $1.7 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 18, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Congress pay raise removed from funding bill by Friday?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Congress pay raise removed from funding bill by Friday?" is 100% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Congress pay raise removed from funding bill by Friday?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.
Market icon

Congress pay raise removed from funding bill by Friday?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$1,663,429 交易量

It was reported on Dec 18 that some lawmakers are not happy with the fact that the continuing resolution (CR) includes a pay bump (see https://www.politico.com/live-updates/2024/12/18/congress/congress-pay-raise-increase-00195089).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if congress's pay raise is removed from the CR, i.e. language blocking a congressional pay raise is restored, by December 20, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

This market will resolve based on whether the language is re-added in the CR at any point, regardless of if the CR eventually passes or not.

The primary resolution source will be the text of the CR, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,663,429
结束日期
Dec 20, 2024
创建时间
Dec 18, 2024, 11:49 AM ET
It was reported on Dec 18 that some lawmakers are not happy with the fact that the continuing resolution (CR) includes a pay bump (see https://www.politico.com/live-updates/2024/12/18/congress/congress-pay-raise-increase-00195089). This market will resolve to "Yes" if congress's pay raise is removed from the CR, i.e. language blocking a congressional pay raise is restored, by December 20, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on whether the language is re-added in the CR at any point, regardless of if the CR eventually passes or not. The primary resolution source will be the text of the CR, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

已提议结果: No

有争议

已提议结果: Yes

有争议

最终结果: Yes

警惕外部链接哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Congress pay raise removed from funding bill by Friday?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 100% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 100¢, the market collectively assigns a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Congress pay raise removed from funding bill by Friday?" has generated $1.7 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 18, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Congress pay raise removed from funding bill by Friday?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Congress pay raise removed from funding bill by Friday?" is 100% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Congress pay raise removed from funding bill by Friday?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.