Market icon

Will Beryl hit US as a hurricane?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$27,549 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Hurricane system currently named 'Beryl' makes landfall in the conterminous US as Hurricane, as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT2+shtml/020248.shtml). If Beryl does not hit the United States by July 8, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or otherwise dissipates before that date, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a hurricane landfall is said to occur when a hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL, and the NHC officially reports that the storm has maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or higher at the time of landfall.

This market will resolve based on an initial advisory released by the NHC that Beryl has made landfall within the conterminous United States within the market timeframe regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial announcement.
交易量
$27,549
结束日期
Jul 8, 2024
创建时间
Jul 2, 2024, 12:06 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Hurricane system currently named 'Beryl' makes landfall in the conterminous US as Hurricane, as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT2+shtml/020248.shtml). If Beryl does not hit the United States by July 8, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or otherwise dissipates before that date, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a hurricane landfall is said to occur when a hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL, and the NHC officially reports that the storm has maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or higher at the time of landfall. This market will resolve based on an initial advisory released by the NHC that Beryl has made landfall within the conterminous United States within the market timeframe regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial announcement.

已提议结果: Yes

无争议

最终结果: Yes

警惕外部链接哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Beryl hit US as a hurricane?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 100% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 100¢, the market collectively assigns a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Beryl hit US as a hurricane?" has generated $27.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 2, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Beryl hit US as a hurricane?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Beryl hit US as a hurricane?" is 100% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Beryl hit US as a hurricane?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.
Market icon

Will Beryl hit US as a hurricane?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$27,549 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Hurricane system currently named 'Beryl' makes landfall in the conterminous US as Hurricane, as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT2+shtml/020248.shtml). If Beryl does not hit the United States by July 8, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or otherwise dissipates before that date, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a hurricane landfall is said to occur when a hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL, and the NHC officially reports that the storm has maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or higher at the time of landfall.

This market will resolve based on an initial advisory released by the NHC that Beryl has made landfall within the conterminous United States within the market timeframe regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial announcement.
交易量
$27,549
结束日期
Jul 8, 2024
创建时间
Jul 2, 2024, 12:06 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Hurricane system currently named 'Beryl' makes landfall in the conterminous US as Hurricane, as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT2+shtml/020248.shtml). If Beryl does not hit the United States by July 8, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or otherwise dissipates before that date, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a hurricane landfall is said to occur when a hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL, and the NHC officially reports that the storm has maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or higher at the time of landfall. This market will resolve based on an initial advisory released by the NHC that Beryl has made landfall within the conterminous United States within the market timeframe regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial announcement.

已提议结果: Yes

无争议

最终结果: Yes

警惕外部链接哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Beryl hit US as a hurricane?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 100% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 100¢, the market collectively assigns a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Beryl hit US as a hurricane?" has generated $27.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 2, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Beryl hit US as a hurricane?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Beryl hit US as a hurricane?" is 100% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Beryl hit US as a hurricane?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.