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特朗普将在2025年宣布谁将成为下任美联储主席?

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特朗普将在2025年宣布谁将成为下任美联储主席?

分组项标题:截至12月31日没有宣布 100.0%

凯文·沃什 <1%

凯文·哈塞特 <1%

分组项标题:亚瑟·拉弗 <1%

Polymarket

$11,634,890 交易量

分组项标题:截至12月31日没有宣布 100.0%

凯文·沃什 <1%

凯文·哈塞特 <1%

分组项标题:亚瑟·拉弗 <1%

Polymarket

$11,634,890 交易量

凯文·沃什

$671,163 交易量

凯文·哈塞特

$933,953 交易量

分组项标题:亚瑟·拉弗

$116,529 交易量

分组项标题:拉里·库德洛

$169,156 交易量

Judy Shelton

$2,013,022 交易量

罗恩·保罗

$125,060 交易量

查玛特·帕利哈皮蒂亚

$82,488 交易量

分组项标题:霍华德·卢特尼克

$349,023 交易量

Scott Bessent

$594,749 交易量

埃隆·马斯克

$1,275,988 交易量

克里斯·沃勒

$666,487 交易量

米歇尔·鲍曼

$583,071 交易量

罗杰·W·费格森 Jr.

$625,335 交易量

里克·里德

$164,849 交易量

分组项标题:截至12月31日没有宣布

$3,264,019 交易量

Trump's Treasury Secretary pick Scott Bessent has floated the idea of Trump naming a successor to Jerome Powell to serve as a "shadow chair", prior to the end of Powell's term, scheduled for May 2026. (see: https://www.nbcwashington.com/news/business/money-report/fed-chair-jerome-powell-can-serve-remainder-of-term-says-trumps-treasury-pick-bessent/3788991/).

This market will resolve to according the individual Donald Trump announces as his pick for the next Federal Reserve Chair. If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next Federal Reserve Chair by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No announcement by December 31".

The resolution source for this market will be official information form Donald Trump or one of his official representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$11,634,890
结束日期
Dec 31, 2025
市场开放时间
Apr 18, 2025, 2:06 PM ET
Trump's Treasury Secretary pick Scott Bessent has floated the idea of Trump naming a successor to Jerome Powell to serve as a "shadow chair", prior to the end of Powell's term, scheduled for May 2026. (see: https://www.nbcwashington.com/news/business/money-report/fed-chair-jerome-powell-can-serve-remainder-of-term-says-trumps-treasury-pick-bessent/3788991/). This market will resolve to according the individual Donald Trump announces as his pick for the next Federal Reserve Chair. If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next Federal Reserve Chair by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No announcement by December 31". The resolution source for this market will be official information form Donald Trump or one of his official representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

已提议结果: 是

无争议

最终结果: 是

警惕外部链接哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"特朗普将在2025年宣布谁将成为下任美联储主席?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "分组项标题:截至12月31日没有宣布" at 100%, followed by "凯文·沃什" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "特朗普将在2025年宣布谁将成为下任美联储主席?" has generated $11.6 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 18, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "特朗普将在2025年宣布谁将成为下任美联储主席?," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "特朗普将在2025年宣布谁将成为下任美联储主席?" is "分组项标题:截至12月31日没有宣布" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "凯文·沃什" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "特朗普将在2025年宣布谁将成为下任美联储主席?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.