Latest Slovenian opinion polls show the center-right Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) leading with 28-32% support, positioning it as the likely largest bloc in the next parliamentary election due by April 2026, driving trader bets toward opposition-led coalitions over Prime Minister Robert Golob's Freedom Movement (GS) at 15-20%. Coalition math remains key in the 90-seat National Assembly, where 46 seats secure a majority; SDS history of broad alliances boosts its odds for inclusion alongside parties like New Slovenia (NSi) or Democrats (DEM). Recent catalysts include Golob's coalition strains after a July 2024 foreign minister dismissal and budget tensions, eroding ruling bloc support. Watch November local elections for polling signals.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$47,096 交易量

Democrats (D)
75%

The Left (Levica)
49%

Social Democrats (SD)
53%

New Slovenia – Christian Democrats (NSi)
52%

Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS)
48%

Resni.ca (Res)
45%

Vesna – Green Party (Vesna)
42%

Slovenian People’s Party (SLS)
40%

Freedom Movement (GS)
29%

Prerod (PVP)
25%

Pirate Party of Slovenia (PPS)
10%

Slovenian National Party (SNS)
5%

Party of Generations (SG)
2%

Mi, socialisti! (Mi!)
2%

Our Country (ND)
2%
$47,096 交易量

Democrats (D)
75%

The Left (Levica)
49%

Social Democrats (SD)
53%

New Slovenia – Christian Democrats (NSi)
52%

Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS)
48%

Resni.ca (Res)
45%

Vesna – Green Party (Vesna)
42%

Slovenian People’s Party (SLS)
40%

Freedom Movement (GS)
29%

Prerod (PVP)
25%

Pirate Party of Slovenia (PPS)
10%

Slovenian National Party (SNS)
5%

Party of Generations (SG)
2%

Mi, socialisti! (Mi!)
2%

Our Country (ND)
2%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Slovenian government formed after the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following a successful confirmation vote in the Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor), with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances.
A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it signs the coalition agreement and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without signing the coalition agreement and holding a cabinet post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Slovenia.
市场开放时间: Mar 13, 2026, 11:13 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Latest Slovenian opinion polls show the center-right Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) leading with 28-32% support, positioning it as the likely largest bloc in the next parliamentary election due by April 2026, driving trader bets toward opposition-led coalitions over Prime Minister Robert Golob's Freedom Movement (GS) at 15-20%. Coalition math remains key in the 90-seat National Assembly, where 46 seats secure a majority; SDS history of broad alliances boosts its odds for inclusion alongside parties like New Slovenia (NSi) or Democrats (DEM). Recent catalysts include Golob's coalition strains after a July 2024 foreign minister dismissal and budget tensions, eroding ruling bloc support. Watch November local elections for polling signals.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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