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经济·大型科技公司

哪些首席执行官将在2027年之前离职？

Market icon
经济·大型科技公司

哪些首席执行官将在2027年之前离职？

$535,996 交易量

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$535,996 交易量

Polymarket
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Dan Clancy - Twitch

$34,011 交易量

40%

Market icon

蒂姆·库克 - 苹果

$320,631 交易量

28%

Market icon

桑达尔·皮查伊 - 谷歌

$30,129 交易量

17%

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萨姆·奥特曼 - OpenAI

$62,737 交易量

16%

Market icon

Andy Jassy - 亚马逊

$13,457 交易量

16%

Market icon

Brian Armstrong - Coinbase

$75,031 交易量

10%

This market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Twitch CEO Dan Clancy's departure before 2027 highest at 43%, driven by the platform's persistent user declines, intensifying competition from Kick and YouTube Gaming, creator backlash over content moderation inconsistencies, and recent controversies like lenient enforcement on streamers violating open-container laws. Tim Cook trails at 28% implied probability amid ongoing Apple succession speculation—despite his March 17 denial of retirement rumors—fueled by Bloomberg's March 22 profile of hardware SVP John Ternus as likely successor and pressures from AI integration and executive shuffles. Odds for Sundar Pichai, Sam Altman, Andy Jassy, and Brian Armstrong remain below 20%, reflecting stable tenures absent major catalysts; watch Apple's Q2 earnings in late April and WWDC in June for potential shifts.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Twitch CEO Dan Clancy's departure before 2027 highest at 43%, driven by the platform's persistent user declines, intensifying competition from Kick and YouTube Gaming, creator backlash over content moderation inconsistencies, and recent controversies like lenient enforcement on streamers violating open-container laws. Tim Cook trails at 28% implied probability amid ongoing Apple succession speculation—despite his March 17 denial of retirement rumors—fueled by Bloomberg's March 22 profile of hardware SVP John Ternus as likely successor and pressures from AI integration and executive shuffles. Odds for Sundar Pichai, Sam Altman, Andy Jassy, and Brian Armstrong remain below 20%, reflecting stable tenures absent major catalysts; watch Apple's Q2 earnings in late April and WWDC in June for potential shifts.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
This market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Twitch CEO Dan Clancy's departure before 2027 highest at 43%, driven by the platform's persistent user declines, intensifying competition from Kick and YouTube Gaming, creator backlash over content moderation inconsistencies, and recent controversies like lenient enforcement on streamers violating open-container laws. Tim Cook trails at 28% implied probability amid ongoing Apple succession speculation—despite his March 17 denial of retirement rumors—fueled by Bloomberg's March 22 profile of hardware SVP John Ternus as likely successor and pressures from AI integration and executive shuffles. Odds for Sundar Pichai, Sam Altman, Andy Jassy, and Brian Armstrong remain below 20%, reflecting stable tenures absent major catalysts; watch Apple's Q2 earnings in late April and WWDC in June for potential shifts.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Twitch CEO Dan Clancy's departure before 2027 highest at 43%, driven by the platform's persistent user declines, intensifying competition from Kick and YouTube Gaming, creator backlash over content moderation inconsistencies, and recent controversies like lenient enforcement on streamers violating open-container laws. Tim Cook trails at 28% implied probability amid ongoing Apple succession speculation—despite his March 17 denial of retirement rumors—fueled by Bloomberg's March 22 profile of hardware SVP John Ternus as likely successor and pressures from AI integration and executive shuffles. Odds for Sundar Pichai, Sam Altman, Andy Jassy, and Brian Armstrong remain below 20%, reflecting stable tenures absent major catalysts; watch Apple's Q2 earnings in late April and WWDC in June for potential shifts.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

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常见问题

"哪些首席执行官将在2027年之前离职？"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 6 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Dan Clancy - Twitch"，概率为 40%，其次是"蒂姆·库克 - 苹果"，概率为 28%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 40¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 40%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"哪些首席执行官将在2027年之前离职？"已产生 $536K 的总交易量（自Nov 18, 2025市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"哪些首席执行官将在2027年之前离职？"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 6 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"哪些首席执行官将在2027年之前离职？"的当前领先者是"Dan Clancy - Twitch"，概率为 40%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 40%。紧随其后的结果是"蒂姆·库克 - 苹果"，概率为 28%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"哪些首席执行官将在2027年之前离职？"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。