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What will Powell say during Framework Review speech on May 15?

Market icon

What will Powell say during Framework Review speech on May 15?

$50,596 交易量

May 15, 2025
Polymarket

$50,596 交易量

Polymarket

Inflation 40+ times

$10,207 交易量

No

Inflation 50+ times

$2,714 交易量

No

Tariff 15+ times

$3,041 交易量

No

Unemployment 15+ times

$1,034 交易量

No

COVID 3+

$1,681 交易量

No

Downbeat

$549 交易量

No

Slowdown

$331 交易量

No

Recession

$11,400 交易量

Yes

Immigration

$560 交易量

No

Median

$541 交易量

No

Forward Guidance

$4,202 交易量

No

Energy

$998 交易量

No

Beige Book

$305 交易量

No

Depression

$4,907 交易量

Yes

Climate

$82 交易量

No

China

$4,008 交易量

No

QE / Quantitative Easing

$438 交易量

No

Crypto / Bitcoin

$2,738 交易量

No

AI / Artificial Intelligence

$861 交易量

No

Jerome Powell is currently scheduled to give a Framework Review speech on May 15, 2025, at 8:40 AM ET. This market pertains to his scheduled speech as well any appended Q&A session.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says the listed term during his scheduled Framework Review speech. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

This market is explicitly about Powell's Framework Review speech scheduled for May 15, 2025, 8:40 AM ET (https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/calendar.htm). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of this event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such speech happens by May 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the speech.
交易量
$50,596
结束日期
May 15, 2025
市场开放时间
May 12, 2025, 3:03 PM ET
Jerome Powell is currently scheduled to give a Framework Review speech on May 15, 2025, at 8:40 AM ET. This market pertains to his scheduled speech as well any appended Q&A session. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says the listed term during his scheduled Framework Review speech. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). This market is explicitly about Powell's Framework Review speech scheduled for May 15, 2025, 8:40 AM ET (https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/calendar.htm). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of this event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If no such speech happens by May 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the speech.

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

警惕外部链接哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"What will Powell say during Framework Review speech on May 15?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 19 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Recession" at 100%, followed by "Depression" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What will Powell say during Framework Review speech on May 15?" has generated $50.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 12, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What will Powell say during Framework Review speech on May 15?," browse the 19 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will Powell say during Framework Review speech on May 15?" is "Recession" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Depression" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will Powell say during Framework Review speech on May 15?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.