Market icon

美国袭击伊朗的方式是…… ?

$156,426,582 交易量

Feb 3, 2026

规则

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between the time of this market's creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").

Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.

Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$156,426,582
结束日期
Jun 30, 2026
创建时间
Jan 29, 2026, 5:19 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between the time of this market's creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes"). Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

警惕外部链接哦。

Market icon

美国袭击伊朗的方式是…… ?

$156,426,582 交易量

2月2日

$3,316,792 交易量

<1%

2月3日

$932,754 交易量

1%

2月4日

$438,237 交易量

1%

2月5日

$591,237 交易量

2%

2月6日

$3,160,619 交易量

3%

2月13日

$2,194,971 交易量

10%

2月20日

$3,210 交易量

17%

2月28日

$6,186,211 交易量

24%

3月31日

$5,048,561 交易量

37%

6月30日

$2,841,102 交易量

51%

关于

交易量
$156,426,582
结束日期
Jun 30, 2026
创建时间
Jan 29, 2026, 5:19 PM ET

警惕外部链接哦。