US next strikes Iran on...?
No strike by February 28 68%
February 28 2.7%
February 7 2.4%
February 6 2.2%
$3,003,054 交易量
$3,003,054 交易量
January 2026
$177,579 交易量
<1%
January 2026
$177,579 交易量
<1%
February 1
$633,029 交易量
<1%
February 1
$633,029 交易量
<1%
February 2
$141,118 交易量
1%
February 2
$141,118 交易量
1%
February 3
$118,006 交易量
1%
February 3
$118,006 交易量
1%
February 4
$100,122 交易量
2%
February 4
$100,122 交易量
2%
February 5
$86,900 交易量
1%
February 5
$86,900 交易量
1%
February 6
$88,228 交易量
2%
February 6
$88,228 交易量
2%
February 7
$65,494 交易量
2%
February 7
$65,494 交易量
2%
February 8
$71,068 交易量
1%
February 8
$71,068 交易量
1%
February 9
$60,719 交易量
1%
February 9
$60,719 交易量
1%
February 10
$60,040 交易量
1%
February 10
$60,040 交易量
1%
February 11
$56,789 交易量
1%
February 11
$56,789 交易量
1%
February 12
$54,775 交易量
2%
February 12
$54,775 交易量
2%
February 13
$58,382 交易量
2%
February 13
$58,382 交易量
2%
February 14
$71,065 交易量
2%
February 14
$71,065 交易量
2%
February 15
$74,589 交易量
1%
February 15
$74,589 交易量
1%
February 16
$67,108 交易量
1%
February 16
$67,108 交易量
1%
February 17
$76,308 交易量
1%
February 17
$76,308 交易量
1%
February 18
$71,116 交易量
1%
February 18
$71,116 交易量
1%
February 19
$75,927 交易量
1%
February 19
$75,927 交易量
1%
February 20
$60,090 交易量
1%
February 20
$60,090 交易量
1%
February 21
$65,741 交易量
2%
February 21
$65,741 交易量
2%
February 22
$76,262 交易量
1%
February 22
$76,262 交易量
1%
February 23
$74,062 交易量
1%
February 23
$74,062 交易量
1%
February 24
$72,357 交易量
1%
February 24
$72,357 交易量
1%
February 25
$77,808 交易量
1%
February 25
$77,808 交易量
1%
February 26
$85,825 交易量
1%
February 26
$85,825 交易量
1%
February 27
$82,334 交易量
2%
February 27
$82,334 交易量
2%
February 28
$91,430 交易量
3%
February 28
$91,430 交易量
3%
No strike by February 28
$108,781 交易量
68%
No strike by February 28
$108,781 交易量
68%
规则
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred. If no strike could be verified under the prior rule by 48 hours after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No strike by February 28," regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
创建于： Jan 27, 2026, 11:48 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...US next strikes Iran on...?
No strike by February 28 68%
February 28 2.7%
February 7 2.4%
February 6 2.2%
$3,003,054 交易量
$3,003,054 交易量
January 2026
<1%
February 1
<1%
February 2
1%
February 3
1%
February 4
2%
February 5
1%
February 6
2%
February 7
2%
February 8
1%
February 9
1%
February 10
1%
February 11
1%
February 12
2%
February 13
2%
February 14
2%
February 15
1%
February 16
1%
February 17
1%
February 18
1%
February 19
1%
February 20
1%
February 21
2%
February 22
1%
February 23
1%
February 24
1%
February 25
1%
February 26
1%
February 27
2%
February 28
3%
No strike by February 28
68%
关于
Resolver
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