Ukrainian drone strikes have repeatedly targeted Moscow in recent weeks, with Russian defenses intercepting over 100 drones on March 15 in one of the war's largest assaults on the capital, followed by additional waves through mid-March. No confirmed impacts in Moscow proper have occurred since, though a drone attack hit the nearby Yaroslavl region today, killing one child and injuring three, underscoring Kyiv's growing long-range capabilities. Moscow responded with its biggest drone barrage yet, launching nearly 1,000 drones at Ukraine on March 23-24 amid a spring offensive. Traders assess escalation risks, Russian air defense resilience, and potential Western aid flows as key factors, with no major diplomatic breakthroughs imminent.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$137,272 交易量
Apr 15, 2026
3月31日
4%
4月15日
9%
4月30日
18%
$137,272 交易量
3月31日
$21,049 交易量
4%
4月15日
$152 交易量
9%
4月30日
$0 交易量
18%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ukrainian armed forces initiate a drone, missile, or air strike on Moscow municipality's soil by the listed date Moscow Standard Time (MSK). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Ukrainian armed forces that impact Moscow municipality's ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Moscow municipality counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on the Moscow municipality's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by the Ukrainian armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Ukrainian or Russian), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Ukrainian drone strikes have repeatedly targeted Moscow in recent weeks, with Russian defenses intercepting over 100 drones on March 15 in one of the war's largest assaults on the capital, followed by additional waves through mid-March. No confirmed impacts in Moscow proper have occurred since, though a drone attack hit the nearby Yaroslavl region today, killing one child and injuring three, underscoring Kyiv's growing long-range capabilities. Moscow responded with its biggest drone barrage yet, launching nearly 1,000 drones at Ukraine on March 23-24 amid a spring offensive. Traders assess escalation risks, Russian air defense resilience, and potential Western aid flows as key factors, with no major diplomatic breakthroughs imminent.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ukrainian armed forces initiate a drone, missile, or air strike on Moscow municipality's soil by the listed date Moscow Standard Time (MSK). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Ukrainian armed forces that impact Moscow municipality's ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Moscow municipality counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on the Moscow municipality's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by the Ukrainian armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Ukrainian or Russian), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Ukrainian armed forces that impact Moscow municipality's ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Moscow municipality counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on the Moscow municipality's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by the Ukrainian armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Ukrainian or Russian), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
市场开放时间： Mar 24, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
交易量
$137,272结束日期
Mar 31, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 24, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ukrainian armed forces initiate a drone, missile, or air strike on Moscow municipality's soil by the listed date Moscow Standard Time (MSK). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Ukrainian armed forces that impact Moscow municipality's ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Moscow municipality counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on the Moscow municipality's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by the Ukrainian armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Ukrainian or Russian), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Ukrainian drone strikes have repeatedly targeted Moscow in recent weeks, with Russian defenses intercepting over 100 drones on March 15 in one of the war's largest assaults on the capital, followed by additional waves through mid-March. No confirmed impacts in Moscow proper have occurred since, though a drone attack hit the nearby Yaroslavl region today, killing one child and injuring three, underscoring Kyiv's growing long-range capabilities. Moscow responded with its biggest drone barrage yet, launching nearly 1,000 drones at Ukraine on March 23-24 amid a spring offensive. Traders assess escalation risks, Russian air defense resilience, and potential Western aid flows as key factors, with no major diplomatic breakthroughs imminent.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ukrainian armed forces initiate a drone, missile, or air strike on Moscow municipality's soil by the listed date Moscow Standard Time (MSK). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Ukrainian armed forces that impact Moscow municipality's ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Moscow municipality counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on the Moscow municipality's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by the Ukrainian armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Ukrainian or Russian), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Ukrainian armed forces that impact Moscow municipality's ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Moscow municipality counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on the Moscow municipality's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by the Ukrainian armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Ukrainian or Russian), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
交易量
$137,272结束日期
Mar 31, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 24, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ukrainian drone strikes have repeatedly targeted Moscow in recent weeks, with Russian defenses intercepting over 100 drones on March 15 in one of the war's largest assaults on the capital, followed by additional waves through mid-March. No confirmed impacts in Moscow proper have occurred since, though a drone attack hit the nearby Yaroslavl region today, killing one child and injuring three, underscoring Kyiv's growing long-range capabilities. Moscow responded with its biggest drone barrage yet, launching nearly 1,000 drones at Ukraine on March 23-24 amid a spring offensive. Traders assess escalation risks, Russian air defense resilience, and potential Western aid flows as key factors, with no major diplomatic breakthroughs imminent.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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