Market icon

Top AI model on December 31?

Gemini 99.9%

Claude <1%

Other <1%

ChatGPT <1%

Polymarket

$1,108,147 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Gemini model has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on December 31, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever model's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, Claude would resolve to "Yes", and "Gemini would resolve to "No")

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
交易量
$1,108,147
结束日期
Dec 31, 2024
创建时间
Dec 17, 2024, 1:17 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Gemini model has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on December 31, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever model's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, Claude would resolve to "Yes", and "Gemini would resolve to "No") The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

已提议结果: Yes

无争议

最终结果: Yes

警惕外部链接哦。

Market icon

Top AI model on December 31?

Gemini 99.9%

Claude <1%

Other <1%

ChatGPT <1%

Polymarket

$1,108,147 交易量

Market icon

Gemini

$397,871 交易量

Yes

Market icon

Other

$193,858 交易量

No

Market icon

ChatGPT

$242,629 交易量

No

Market icon

Grok

$177,744 交易量

No

Market icon

Claude

$96,045 交易量

No

警惕外部链接哦。