U.S. Senator Marsha Blackburn dominates trader consensus at 89% implied probability to win Tennessee's Republican gubernatorial primary on August 6, fueled by consistent polling leads, including recent VictoryPhones (March 18-24) showing her at 56% against Rep. John Rose's 14% and challenger Monty Fritts' 11%, and Cygnal (March 16-17) at 58%-7%-4%. Her early August 2025 announcement, national profile, Trump alignment, and FEC-documented fundraising groundwork solidify her frontrunner status post-March 10 filing deadline, when candidate lists finalized without game-changing entrants. Rose trails with congressional incumbency but lower name recognition statewide, while Fritts appeals to grassroots conservatives yet lags significantly; undecided voters in polls leave room for shifts ahead of early voting.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于玛莎·布莱克本 89%
约翰·罗斯 6%
蒙蒂·弗里茨 5%
玛莎·布莱克本
89%
约翰·罗斯
6%
蒙蒂·弗里茨
5%
玛莎·布莱克本 89%
约翰·罗斯 6%
蒙蒂·弗里茨 5%
玛莎·布莱克本
89%
约翰·罗斯
6%
蒙蒂·弗里茨
5%
If no 2026 Tennessee Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Tennessee Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
市场开放时间: Dec 11, 2025, 10:33 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Tennessee Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Tennessee Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...U.S. Senator Marsha Blackburn dominates trader consensus at 89% implied probability to win Tennessee's Republican gubernatorial primary on August 6, fueled by consistent polling leads, including recent VictoryPhones (March 18-24) showing her at 56% against Rep. John Rose's 14% and challenger Monty Fritts' 11%, and Cygnal (March 16-17) at 58%-7%-4%. Her early August 2025 announcement, national profile, Trump alignment, and FEC-documented fundraising groundwork solidify her frontrunner status post-March 10 filing deadline, when candidate lists finalized without game-changing entrants. Rose trails with congressional incumbency but lower name recognition statewide, while Fritts appeals to grassroots conservatives yet lags significantly; undecided voters in polls leave room for shifts ahead of early voting.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题