As Sudan's civil war between the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) and Rapid Support Forces (RSF) enters its fourth year after the April 15 anniversary, persistent frontline clashes and diplomatic setbacks drive trader skepticism on near-term ceasefires. The U.S. imposed fresh sanctions yesterday on RSF-linked recruitment networks while urging a humanitarian truce, but Sudan's government rejected the Berlin donor conference—yielding $1.8 billion in pledges—as unacceptable meddling. SAF leader Abdel Fattah al-Burhan voiced readiness for talks, yet control splits persist: SAF holds Khartoum and the east, RSF dominates Darfur and the west. Ongoing IGAD and Quad (U.S., Saudi Arabia, Egypt, UAE) mediation efforts face historical breakdowns, with humanitarian catastrophe amplifying urgency but no breakthroughs in sight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$61,707 交易量
2026-06-30
2026年6月30日
4%
2026年12月31日
20%
$61,707 交易量
2026年6月30日
$2,366 交易量
4%
2026年12月31日
$193 交易量
20%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.As Sudan's civil war between the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) and Rapid Support Forces (RSF) enters its fourth year after the April 15 anniversary, persistent frontline clashes and diplomatic setbacks drive trader skepticism on near-term ceasefires. The U.S. imposed fresh sanctions yesterday on RSF-linked recruitment networks while urging a humanitarian truce, but Sudan's government rejected the Berlin donor conference—yielding $1.8 billion in pledges—as unacceptable meddling. SAF leader Abdel Fattah al-Burhan voiced readiness for talks, yet control splits persist: SAF holds Khartoum and the east, RSF dominates Darfur and the west. Ongoing IGAD and Quad (U.S., Saudi Arabia, Egypt, UAE) mediation efforts face historical breakdowns, with humanitarian catastrophe amplifying urgency but no breakthroughs in sight.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
市场开放时间： Dec 22, 2025, 2:08 PM ET
交易量
$61,707结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Dec 22, 2025, 2:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.As Sudan's civil war between the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) and Rapid Support Forces (RSF) enters its fourth year after the April 15 anniversary, persistent frontline clashes and diplomatic setbacks drive trader skepticism on near-term ceasefires. The U.S. imposed fresh sanctions yesterday on RSF-linked recruitment networks while urging a humanitarian truce, but Sudan's government rejected the Berlin donor conference—yielding $1.8 billion in pledges—as unacceptable meddling. SAF leader Abdel Fattah al-Burhan voiced readiness for talks, yet control splits persist: SAF holds Khartoum and the east, RSF dominates Darfur and the west. Ongoing IGAD and Quad (U.S., Saudi Arabia, Egypt, UAE) mediation efforts face historical breakdowns, with humanitarian catastrophe amplifying urgency but no breakthroughs in sight.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
交易量
$61,707结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Dec 22, 2025, 2:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...As Sudan's civil war between the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) and Rapid Support Forces (RSF) enters its fourth year after the April 15 anniversary, persistent frontline clashes and diplomatic setbacks drive trader skepticism on near-term ceasefires. The U.S. imposed fresh sanctions yesterday on RSF-linked recruitment networks while urging a humanitarian truce, but Sudan's government rejected the Berlin donor conference—yielding $1.8 billion in pledges—as unacceptable meddling. SAF leader Abdel Fattah al-Burhan voiced readiness for talks, yet control splits persist: SAF holds Khartoum and the east, RSF dominates Darfur and the west. Ongoing IGAD and Quad (U.S., Saudi Arabia, Egypt, UAE) mediation efforts face historical breakdowns, with humanitarian catastrophe amplifying urgency but no breakthroughs in sight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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