Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 75.5% implied probability for 2.6 million–2.8 million TSA checkpoint screenings on March 29, reflecting sustained spring break demand with daily throughput averaging around 2.5 million recently—peaking at 2.72 million on March 26—against record projections of 171 million passengers for March–April. However, a partial government shutdown has spiked TSA officer absences above 10%, causing four-hour-plus wait times at major airports and year-over-year screening declines of 9.15% as of March 26, capping upside potential and sidelining higher bins like 2.8M–3.0M (27%). Cumulative screenings through March 26 reached 9.94 million for the March 23–29 week, implying ~2.6 million daily for remaining days per trader positioning. Official TSA data release expected later today could shift sentiment.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于2.6M-2.8M 75%
<2.6M 9.0%
3.0M-3.2M <1%
3.2M-3.4M <1%
$15,700 交易量
$15,700 交易量
<2.6M
12%
2.6M-2.8M
76%
2.8M-3.0M
27%
3.0M-3.2M
1%
3.2M-3.4M
<1%
>3.4M
<1%
2.6M-2.8M 75%
<2.6M 9.0%
3.0M-3.2M <1%
3.2M-3.4M <1%
$15,700 交易量
$15,700 交易量
<2.6M
12%
2.6M-2.8M
76%
2.8M-3.0M
27%
3.0M-3.2M
1%
3.2M-3.4M
<1%
>3.4M
<1%
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
市场开放时间: Mar 23, 2026, 5:55 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumesResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Resolution Source
https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 75.5% implied probability for 2.6 million–2.8 million TSA checkpoint screenings on March 29, reflecting sustained spring break demand with daily throughput averaging around 2.5 million recently—peaking at 2.72 million on March 26—against record projections of 171 million passengers for March–April. However, a partial government shutdown has spiked TSA officer absences above 10%, causing four-hour-plus wait times at major airports and year-over-year screening declines of 9.15% as of March 26, capping upside potential and sidelining higher bins like 2.8M–3.0M (27%). Cumulative screenings through March 26 reached 9.94 million for the March 23–29 week, implying ~2.6 million daily for remaining days per trader positioning. Official TSA data release expected later today could shift sentiment.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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