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经济·TSA

Number of TSA Passengers March 27?

Market icon
经济·TSA

Number of TSA Passengers March 27?

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 30

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 30

2.6M-2.8M 89%

2.8M-3.0M 9%

<2.6M 4.0%

3.0M-3.2M <1%

Polymarket

$23,106 交易量

2.6M-2.8M 89%

2.8M-3.0M 9%

<2.6M 4.0%

3.0M-3.2M <1%

Polymarket

$23,106 交易量

<2.6M

$19,554 交易量

4%

2.6M-2.8M

$497 交易量

89%

2.8M-3.0M

$133 交易量

9%

3.0M-3.2M

$1,121 交易量

12%

3.2M-3.4M

$1,235 交易量

<1%

>3.4M

$565 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on March 27, 2026. If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered. If data is not available for the listed date by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 89% implied probability to 2.6–2.8 million TSA checkpoint passengers on March 27, 2026, anchored by the prior day's 2.72 million throughput and recent daily volumes averaging 2.5–2.8 million amid peak spring break demand. Volumes reflect resilient consumer travel spending despite a 9% year-over-year decline, pressured by partial government shutdown effects including 11%+ TSA officer callouts and unprecedented wait times exceeding four hours at major hubs, prompting ICE agent deployments. Friday patterns typically mirror Thursdays, sustaining pricing in this bin, though staffing strains introduce modest tail risk for lower outcomes. Official TSA data release expected early next week will resolve the market.

Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 89% implied probability to 2.6–2.8 million TSA checkpoint passengers on March 27, 2026, anchored by the prior day's 2.72 million throughput and recent daily volumes averaging 2.5–2.8 million amid peak spring break demand. Volumes reflect resilient consumer travel spending despite a 9% year-over-year decline, pressured by partial government shutdown effects including 11%+ TSA officer callouts and unprecedented wait times exceeding four hours at major hubs, prompting ICE agent deployments. Friday patterns typically mirror Thursdays, sustaining pricing in this bin, though staffing strains introduce modest tail risk for lower outcomes. Official TSA data release expected early next week will resolve the market.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on March 27, 2026. If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered. If data is not available for the listed date by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 89% implied probability to 2.6–2.8 million TSA checkpoint passengers on March 27, 2026, anchored by the prior day's 2.72 million throughput and recent daily volumes averaging 2.5–2.8 million amid peak spring break demand. Volumes reflect resilient consumer travel spending despite a 9% year-over-year decline, pressured by partial government shutdown effects including 11%+ TSA officer callouts and unprecedented wait times exceeding four hours at major hubs, prompting ICE agent deployments. Friday patterns typically mirror Thursdays, sustaining pricing in this bin, though staffing strains introduce modest tail risk for lower outcomes. Official TSA data release expected early next week will resolve the market.

Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 89% implied probability to 2.6–2.8 million TSA checkpoint passengers on March 27, 2026, anchored by the prior day's 2.72 million throughput and recent daily volumes averaging 2.5–2.8 million amid peak spring break demand. Volumes reflect resilient consumer travel spending despite a 9% year-over-year decline, pressured by partial government shutdown effects including 11%+ TSA officer callouts and unprecedented wait times exceeding four hours at major hubs, prompting ICE agent deployments. Friday patterns typically mirror Thursdays, sustaining pricing in this bin, though staffing strains introduce modest tail risk for lower outcomes. Official TSA data release expected early next week will resolve the market.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Number of TSA Passengers March 27?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 6 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"2.6M-2.8M"，概率为 89%，其次是"3.0M-3.2M"，概率为 12%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 89¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 89%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"Number of TSA Passengers March 27?"已产生 $23.1K 的总交易量（自Mar 23, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Number of TSA Passengers March 27?"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 6 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Number of TSA Passengers March 27?"的当前领先者是"2.6M-2.8M"，概率为 89%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 89%。紧随其后的结果是"3.0M-3.2M"，概率为 12%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Number of TSA Passengers March 27?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。