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政治·全球选举

Next Prime Minister of Canada after the election?

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政治·全球选举

Next Prime Minister of Canada after the election?

Mark Carney 100.0%

Pierre Poilievre <1%

Chrystia Freeland <1%

Jagmeet Singh <1%

Polymarket

$120,985,208 交易量

Mark Carney 100.0%

Pierre Poilievre <1%

Chrystia Freeland <1%

Jagmeet Singh <1%

Polymarket

$120,985,208 交易量

Market icon

Pierre Poilievre

$67,376,036 交易量

No

Market icon

Chrystia Freeland

$3,567,692 交易量

No

Market icon

Mark Carney

$36,416,000 交易量

Yes

Market icon

Jagmeet Singh

$8,476,682 交易量

No

Market icon

Justin Trudeau

$5,148,798 交易量

No

The next Canadian federal election will take place on or before October 20, 2025, to elect members of the House of Commons to the 45th Canadian Parliament. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pierre Poilievre is the next Prime Minister of Canada following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Prime Minister of Canada is instated by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Canada, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The next Canadian federal election will take place on or before October 20, 2025, to elect members of the House of Commons to the 45th Canadian Parliament. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chrystia Freeland is the next Prime Minister of Canada following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Prime Minister of Canada is instated by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Canada, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The next Canadian federal election will take place on or before October 20, 2025, to elect members of the House of Commons to the 45th Canadian Parliament. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mark Carney is the next Prime Minister of Canada following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Prime Minister of Canada is instated by December 31, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Canada, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The next Canadian federal election will take place on or before October 20, 2025, to elect members of the House of Commons to the 45th Canadian Parliament. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jagmeet Singh is the next Prime Minister of Canada following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Prime Minister of Canada is instated by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Canada, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The next Canadian federal election will take place on or before October 20, 2025, to elect members of the House of Commons to the 45th Canadian Parliament. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Justin Trudeau is the next Prime Minister of Canada following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Prime Minister of Canada is instated by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Canada, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

The next Canadian federal election will take place on or before October 20, 2025, to elect members of the House of Commons to the 45th Canadian Parliament.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pierre Poilievre is the next Prime Minister of Canada following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Any interim/caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Prime Minister of Canada is instated by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Canada, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$120,985,208
结束日期
Apr 28, 2025
市场开放时间
Dec 30, 2024, 10:21 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The next Canadian federal election will take place on or before October 20, 2025, to elect members of the House of Commons to the 45th Canadian Parliament. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pierre Poilievre is the next Prime Minister of Canada following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Prime Minister of Canada is instated by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Canada, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

The next Canadian federal election will take place on or before October 20, 2025, to elect members of the House of Commons to the 45th Canadian Parliament. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pierre Poilievre is the next Prime Minister of Canada following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Prime Minister of Canada is instated by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Canada, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The next Canadian federal election will take place on or before October 20, 2025, to elect members of the House of Commons to the 45th Canadian Parliament. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chrystia Freeland is the next Prime Minister of Canada following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Prime Minister of Canada is instated by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Canada, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The next Canadian federal election will take place on or before October 20, 2025, to elect members of the House of Commons to the 45th Canadian Parliament. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mark Carney is the next Prime Minister of Canada following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Prime Minister of Canada is instated by December 31, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Canada, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The next Canadian federal election will take place on or before October 20, 2025, to elect members of the House of Commons to the 45th Canadian Parliament. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jagmeet Singh is the next Prime Minister of Canada following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Prime Minister of Canada is instated by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Canada, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The next Canadian federal election will take place on or before October 20, 2025, to elect members of the House of Commons to the 45th Canadian Parliament. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Justin Trudeau is the next Prime Minister of Canada following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Prime Minister of Canada is instated by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Canada, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Next Prime Minister of Canada after the election?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 5 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Mark Carney"，概率为 100%，其次是"Pierre Poilievre"，概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"Next Prime Minister of Canada after the election?"已产生 $121 million 的总交易量（自Dec 30, 2024市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Next Prime Minister of Canada after the election?"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 5 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Next Prime Minister of Canada after the election?"的当前领先者是"Mark Carney"，概率为 100%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"Pierre Poilievre"，概率为 0%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Next Prime Minister of Canada after the election?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。