Trader consensus on Polymarket implies modest odds for USD/CAD hitting elevated levels in 2026, primarily driven by the Bank of Canada's aggressive rate cuts—now at 3.75% after four reductions this year—versus the Fed's steadier path with funds rate steady at 4.75-5.00%. Current spot trades near 1.385, supported by WTI crude above $70/barrel bolstering CAD as an oil proxy. Key risks include prolonged US growth outperformance (2.8% Q3 GDP) and sticky inflation curbing further BoC easing, potentially widening yield spreads to 100bps. Watch Dec. 11 BoC and Dec. 18 FOMC meetings, plus Jan. 31 Canadian CPI, for catalysts; long-term forecasts cluster around 1.35-1.42 amid recession bets.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于↑1.70
5%
↑1.60
17%
↑1.55
38%
↑1.50
52%
↑1.45
52%
↑1.42
56%
↑1.39
74%
↓1.33
62%
↓1.30
53%
↓1.25
50%
↓1.20
42%
↓1.10
49%
$0.00 交易量
↑1.70
5%
↑1.60
17%
↑1.55
38%
↑1.50
52%
↑1.45
52%
↑1.42
56%
↑1.39
74%
↓1.33
62%
↓1.30
53%
↓1.25
50%
↓1.20
42%
↓1.10
49%
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/CAD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the USD/CAD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-cad-chart).
市场开放时间: Feb 6, 2026, 4:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies modest odds for USD/CAD hitting elevated levels in 2026, primarily driven by the Bank of Canada's aggressive rate cuts—now at 3.75% after four reductions this year—versus the Fed's steadier path with funds rate steady at 4.75-5.00%. Current spot trades near 1.385, supported by WTI crude above $70/barrel bolstering CAD as an oil proxy. Key risks include prolonged US growth outperformance (2.8% Q3 GDP) and sticky inflation curbing further BoC easing, potentially widening yield spreads to 100bps. Watch Dec. 11 BoC and Dec. 18 FOMC meetings, plus Jan. 31 Canadian CPI, for catalysts; long-term forecasts cluster around 1.35-1.42 amid recession bets.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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