Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a modest implied probability to USD/CAD hitting [specific level, e.g., 1.50] at any point in 2026, reflecting bearish CAD sentiment amid widening US-Canada interest rate differentials and soft Canadian growth. The pair trades near 1.39, down from 2024 highs above 1.42, pressured by Bank of Canada's aggressive rate cuts to 3.75% versus the Fed's steady 4.50%-4.75% range, alongside sub-$70 WTI oil weighing on the commodity-linked loonie. Key catalysts include December 11 BoC policy meeting, January 29 Fed decision, and Q1 2026 CPI releases; sustained US strength or renewed trade tensions could push toward resolution thresholds, though economists project year-end 2026 averages near 1.36 per consensus forecasts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于↑1.70
5%
↑1.60
17%
↑1.55
38%
↑1.50
52%
↑1.45
52%
↑1.42
56%
↑1.39
74%
↓1.33
62%
↓1.30
53%
↓1.25
50%
↓1.20
42%
↓1.10
49%
$0.00 交易量
↑1.70
5%
↑1.60
17%
↑1.55
38%
↑1.50
52%
↑1.45
52%
↑1.42
56%
↑1.39
74%
↓1.33
62%
↓1.30
53%
↓1.25
50%
↓1.20
42%
↓1.10
49%
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/CAD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the USD/CAD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-cad-chart).
市场开放时间: Feb 6, 2026, 4:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a modest implied probability to USD/CAD hitting [specific level, e.g., 1.50] at any point in 2026, reflecting bearish CAD sentiment amid widening US-Canada interest rate differentials and soft Canadian growth. The pair trades near 1.39, down from 2024 highs above 1.42, pressured by Bank of Canada's aggressive rate cuts to 3.75% versus the Fed's steady 4.50%-4.75% range, alongside sub-$70 WTI oil weighing on the commodity-linked loonie. Key catalysts include December 11 BoC policy meeting, January 29 Fed decision, and Q1 2026 CPI releases; sustained US strength or renewed trade tensions could push toward resolution thresholds, though economists project year-end 2026 averages near 1.36 per consensus forecasts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题