Canada's federal government has sharply reduced immigration targets under its 2025-2027 Levels Plan, cutting permanent resident admissions to 380,000 in 2026 while accelerating outflows of non-permanent residents to meet a 5% population share goal by year-end. Official projections from the Parliamentary Budget Officer and Statistics Canada anticipate these changes will produce flat or marginally negative population growth in 2026, following confirmed quarterly declines and an overall annual drop in 2025 driven by reduced temporary resident inflows. Natural increase remains low due to aging demographics and fertility rates near historic lows, with policy measures directly offsetting prior high-migration momentum and shaping trader views on net change for the calendar year.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于上升
最新
最新
2027-04-30
上升
最新
最新
2027-04-30
This market will resolve to "Up" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Canada's federal government has sharply reduced immigration targets under its 2025-2027 Levels Plan, cutting permanent resident admissions to 380,000 in 2026 while accelerating outflows of non-permanent residents to meet a 5% population share goal by year-end. Official projections from the Parliamentary Budget Officer and Statistics Canada anticipate these changes will produce flat or marginally negative population growth in 2026, following confirmed quarterly declines and an overall annual drop in 2025 driven by reduced temporary resident inflows. Natural increase remains low due to aging demographics and fertility rates near historic lows, with policy measures directly offsetting prior high-migration momentum and shaping trader views on net change for the calendar year.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Jan 27, 2026, 5:18 PM ET
交易量
$1,488结束日期
2027-04-30市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Up" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Canada's federal government has sharply reduced immigration targets under its 2025-2027 Levels Plan, cutting permanent resident admissions to 380,000 in 2026 while accelerating outflows of non-permanent residents to meet a 5% population share goal by year-end. Official projections from the Parliamentary Budget Officer and Statistics Canada anticipate these changes will produce flat or marginally negative population growth in 2026, following confirmed quarterly declines and an overall annual drop in 2025 driven by reduced temporary resident inflows. Natural increase remains low due to aging demographics and fertility rates near historic lows, with policy measures directly offsetting prior high-migration momentum and shaping trader views on net change for the calendar year.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$1,488结束日期
2027-04-30市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Canada's federal government has sharply reduced immigration targets under its 2025-2027 Levels Plan, cutting permanent resident admissions to 380,000 in 2026 while accelerating outflows of non-permanent residents to meet a 5% population share goal by year-end. Official projections from the Parliamentary Budget Officer and Statistics Canada anticipate these changes will produce flat or marginally negative population growth in 2026, following confirmed quarterly declines and an overall annual drop in 2025 driven by reduced temporary resident inflows. Natural increase remains low due to aging demographics and fertility rates near historic lows, with policy measures directly offsetting prior high-migration momentum and shaping trader views on net change for the calendar year.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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