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政治·主要

密歇根州州长民主党初选获胜者

Market icon
政治·主要

密歇根州州长民主党初选获胜者

乔斯林·本森 91%

玛尼·索威茨基 4.0%

克里斯·斯旺森 2.6%

加林·吉尔克里斯特 1.4%

Polymarket
NEW

乔斯林·本森 91%

玛尼·索威茨基 4.0%

克里斯·斯旺森 2.6%

加林·吉尔克里斯特 1.4%

Polymarket
NEW

乔斯林·本森

$2,544 交易量

91%

玛尼·索威茨基

$0 交易量

4%

克里斯·斯旺森

$0 交易量

3%

加林·吉尔克里斯特

$0 交易量

1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Jocelyn Benson's commanding 90.5% implied probability in the Michigan Democratic gubernatorial primary reflects her recent campaign launch, bolstered by high name recognition as the incumbent Secretary of State, robust early fundraising exceeding $2 million, and endorsements from prominent state Democrats including EMILYs List. Recent polls, such as a September Detroit News survey, position her as the clear frontrunner among potential candidates, far ahead of Lt. Gov. Garlin Gilchrist and others like Genesee County Sheriff Chris Swanson. Trader consensus credits her statewide profile from defending election integrity amid 2020 challenges. While dominant, odds could shift with major entrants like Gov. Gretchen Whitmer opting in, late fundraising surges by challengers, or primary endorsements before the August 2026 vote.

Jocelyn Benson's commanding 90.5% implied probability in the Michigan Democratic gubernatorial primary reflects her recent campaign launch, bolstered by high name recognition as the incumbent Secretary of State, robust early fundraising exceeding $2 million, and endorsements from prominent state Democrats including EMILYs List. Recent polls, such as a September Detroit News survey, position her as the clear frontrunner among potential candidates, far ahead of Lt. Gov. Garlin Gilchrist and others like Genesee County Sheriff Chris Swanson. Trader consensus credits her statewide profile from defending election integrity amid 2020 challenges. While dominant, odds could shift with major entrants like Gov. Gretchen Whitmer opting in, late fundraising surges by challengers, or primary endorsements before the August 2026 vote.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Jocelyn Benson's commanding 90.5% implied probability in the Michigan Democratic gubernatorial primary reflects her recent campaign launch, bolstered by high name recognition as the incumbent Secretary of State, robust early fundraising exceeding $2 million, and endorsements from prominent state Democrats including EMILYs List. Recent polls, such as a September Detroit News survey, position her as the clear frontrunner among potential candidates, far ahead of Lt. Gov. Garlin Gilchrist and others like Genesee County Sheriff Chris Swanson. Trader consensus credits her statewide profile from defending election integrity amid 2020 challenges. While dominant, odds could shift with major entrants like Gov. Gretchen Whitmer opting in, late fundraising surges by challengers, or primary endorsements before the August 2026 vote.

Jocelyn Benson's commanding 90.5% implied probability in the Michigan Democratic gubernatorial primary reflects her recent campaign launch, bolstered by high name recognition as the incumbent Secretary of State, robust early fundraising exceeding $2 million, and endorsements from prominent state Democrats including EMILYs List. Recent polls, such as a September Detroit News survey, position her as the clear frontrunner among potential candidates, far ahead of Lt. Gov. Garlin Gilchrist and others like Genesee County Sheriff Chris Swanson. Trader consensus credits her statewide profile from defending election integrity amid 2020 challenges. While dominant, odds could shift with major entrants like Gov. Gretchen Whitmer opting in, late fundraising surges by challengers, or primary endorsements before the August 2026 vote.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

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常见问题

"密歇根州州长民主党初选获胜者"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 4 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"乔斯林·本森"，概率为 91%，其次是"玛尼·索威茨基"，概率为 4%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 91¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 91%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"密歇根州州长民主党初选获胜者"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场，于Dec 10, 2025上线。作为一个新市场，这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签，以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"密歇根州州长民主党初选获胜者"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 4 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"密歇根州州长民主党初选获胜者"的当前领先者是"乔斯林·本森"，概率为 91%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 91%。紧随其后的结果是"玛尼·索威茨基"，概率为 4%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"密歇根州州长民主党初选获胜者"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。