The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and Department of Justice recently sued Arizona, Connecticut, and Illinois (April 2, 2026) for issuing cease-and-desist orders against sports prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket, asserting federal preemption under the Commodity Exchange Act and rejecting state gambling claims. This Trump administration action bolsters trader consensus at 91% "No," amid CFTC's March advisories and rulemaking seeking oversight rather than bans on event contracts. Bipartisan Senate legislation by Sens. Curtis and Schiff (March 23) and House bill by Rep. Raskin and Sen. Merkley (March 26) aim to prohibit sports and casino-style contracts but remain early-stage in a divided Congress with no committee advancement or floor votes scheduled, facing historical hurdles for niche regulatory bills. Enactment before year-end would require unlikely swift passage.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于是
最新
最新
2026-06-30
是
最新
最新
2026-06-30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning CFTC-regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any bill that prohibits federally regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts, or otherwise places such activities under state-level gambling regulation rather than federal regulatory oversight, will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and Department of Justice recently sued Arizona, Connecticut, and Illinois (April 2, 2026) for issuing cease-and-desist orders against sports prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket, asserting federal preemption under the Commodity Exchange Act and rejecting state gambling claims. This Trump administration action bolsters trader consensus at 91% "No," amid CFTC's March advisories and rulemaking seeking oversight rather than bans on event contracts. Bipartisan Senate legislation by Sens. Curtis and Schiff (March 23) and House bill by Rep. Raskin and Sen. Merkley (March 26) aim to prohibit sports and casino-style contracts but remain early-stage in a divided Congress with no committee advancement or floor votes scheduled, facing historical hurdles for niche regulatory bills. Enactment before year-end would require unlikely swift passage.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning CFTC-regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any bill that prohibits federally regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts, or otherwise places such activities under state-level gambling regulation rather than federal regulatory oversight, will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Any bill that prohibits federally regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts, or otherwise places such activities under state-level gambling regulation rather than federal regulatory oversight, will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间： Mar 27, 2026, 1:53 PM ET
交易量
$9,526结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Mar 27, 2026, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning CFTC-regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any bill that prohibits federally regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts, or otherwise places such activities under state-level gambling regulation rather than federal regulatory oversight, will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and Department of Justice recently sued Arizona, Connecticut, and Illinois (April 2, 2026) for issuing cease-and-desist orders against sports prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket, asserting federal preemption under the Commodity Exchange Act and rejecting state gambling claims. This Trump administration action bolsters trader consensus at 91% "No," amid CFTC's March advisories and rulemaking seeking oversight rather than bans on event contracts. Bipartisan Senate legislation by Sens. Curtis and Schiff (March 23) and House bill by Rep. Raskin and Sen. Merkley (March 26) aim to prohibit sports and casino-style contracts but remain early-stage in a divided Congress with no committee advancement or floor votes scheduled, facing historical hurdles for niche regulatory bills. Enactment before year-end would require unlikely swift passage.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning CFTC-regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any bill that prohibits federally regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts, or otherwise places such activities under state-level gambling regulation rather than federal regulatory oversight, will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Any bill that prohibits federally regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts, or otherwise places such activities under state-level gambling regulation rather than federal regulatory oversight, will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$9,526结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Mar 27, 2026, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and Department of Justice recently sued Arizona, Connecticut, and Illinois (April 2, 2026) for issuing cease-and-desist orders against sports prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket, asserting federal preemption under the Commodity Exchange Act and rejecting state gambling claims. This Trump administration action bolsters trader consensus at 91% "No," amid CFTC's March advisories and rulemaking seeking oversight rather than bans on event contracts. Bipartisan Senate legislation by Sens. Curtis and Schiff (March 23) and House bill by Rep. Raskin and Sen. Merkley (March 26) aim to prohibit sports and casino-style contracts but remain early-stage in a divided Congress with no committee advancement or floor votes scheduled, facing historical hurdles for niche regulatory bills. Enactment before year-end would require unlikely swift passage.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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