Market icon

Kamala Harris 538 odds >65% on Friday?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$42,217 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris has a 66% or greater chance of winning the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election according to the FiveThirtyEight election forecast on September 27, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's 2024 presidential election forecast when "Win probability" is selected, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/, specifically the numbers indicated by the blue trend line for this market's resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates its figures will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

This market will resolve according to the datapoint for September 27 as soon as the next datapoint become available. This market may not resolve until the next datapoint is available. If no datapoint for September 27 is available by September 30, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous figures to September 27.

Please note the resolution refers to the odds of Kamala Harris winning as a number out of 100 reported to the 1 digit mark (eg. "Harris 57 times out of 100"). The listed number of simulations out of 1,000 will NOT be considered.
交易量
$42,217
结束日期
Sep 27, 2024
创建时间
Sep 18, 2024, 11:08 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris has a 66% or greater chance of winning the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election according to the FiveThirtyEight election forecast on September 27, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's 2024 presidential election forecast when "Win probability" is selected, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/, specifically the numbers indicated by the blue trend line for this market's resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates its figures will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve according to the datapoint for September 27 as soon as the next datapoint become available. This market may not resolve until the next datapoint is available. If no datapoint for September 27 is available by September 30, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous figures to September 27. Please note the resolution refers to the odds of Kamala Harris winning as a number out of 100 reported to the 1 digit mark (eg. "Harris 57 times out of 100"). The listed number of simulations out of 1,000 will NOT be considered.

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

警惕外部链接哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Kamala Harris 538 odds >65% on Friday?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Kamala Harris 538 odds >65% on Friday?" has generated $42.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 19, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Kamala Harris 538 odds >65% on Friday?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Kamala Harris 538 odds >65% on Friday?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Kamala Harris 538 odds >65% on Friday?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.
Market icon

Kamala Harris 538 odds >65% on Friday?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$42,217 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris has a 66% or greater chance of winning the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election according to the FiveThirtyEight election forecast on September 27, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's 2024 presidential election forecast when "Win probability" is selected, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/, specifically the numbers indicated by the blue trend line for this market's resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates its figures will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

This market will resolve according to the datapoint for September 27 as soon as the next datapoint become available. This market may not resolve until the next datapoint is available. If no datapoint for September 27 is available by September 30, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous figures to September 27.

Please note the resolution refers to the odds of Kamala Harris winning as a number out of 100 reported to the 1 digit mark (eg. "Harris 57 times out of 100"). The listed number of simulations out of 1,000 will NOT be considered.
交易量
$42,217
结束日期
Sep 27, 2024
创建时间
Sep 18, 2024, 11:08 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris has a 66% or greater chance of winning the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election according to the FiveThirtyEight election forecast on September 27, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's 2024 presidential election forecast when "Win probability" is selected, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/, specifically the numbers indicated by the blue trend line for this market's resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates its figures will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve according to the datapoint for September 27 as soon as the next datapoint become available. This market may not resolve until the next datapoint is available. If no datapoint for September 27 is available by September 30, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous figures to September 27. Please note the resolution refers to the odds of Kamala Harris winning as a number out of 100 reported to the 1 digit mark (eg. "Harris 57 times out of 100"). The listed number of simulations out of 1,000 will NOT be considered.

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

警惕外部链接哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Kamala Harris 538 odds >65% on Friday?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Kamala Harris 538 odds >65% on Friday?" has generated $42.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 19, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Kamala Harris 538 odds >65% on Friday?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Kamala Harris 538 odds >65% on Friday?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Kamala Harris 538 odds >65% on Friday?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.