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Justin Trudeau out as leader of Liberals before April?

Market icon

Justin Trudeau out as leader of Liberals before April?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$62,257 交易量

>99% chance
Polymarket

$62,257 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Justin Trudeau announces he is resigning as head of the Liberal Party of Canada or otherwise ceases to be head of the Liberal Party of Canada for any length of time between December 15, 2024 and March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Justin Trudeau announces he is resigning but remains on in this position to a point outside this market's timeframe, the announcement will still qualify for an immediate "Yes" resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Justin Trudeau or the Liberal Party of Canada, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

交易量
$62,257
结束日期
Mar 31, 2025
市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2024, 6:37 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Justin Trudeau announces he is resigning as head of the Liberal Party of Canada or otherwise ceases to be head of the Liberal Party of Canada for any length of time between December 15, 2024 and March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Justin Trudeau announces he is resigning but remains on in this position to a point outside this market's timeframe, the announcement will still qualify for an immediate "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Justin Trudeau or the Liberal Party of Canada, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

已提议结果: Yes

无争议

最终结果: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Justin Trudeau announces he is resigning as head of the Liberal Party of Canada or otherwise ceases to be head of the Liberal Party of Canada for any length of time between December 15, 2024 and March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Justin Trudeau announces he is resigning but remains on in this position to a point outside this market's timeframe, the announcement will still qualify for an immediate "Yes" resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Justin Trudeau or the Liberal Party of Canada, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

交易量
$62,257
结束日期
Mar 31, 2025
市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2024, 6:37 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Justin Trudeau announces he is resigning as head of the Liberal Party of Canada or otherwise ceases to be head of the Liberal Party of Canada for any length of time between December 15, 2024 and March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Justin Trudeau announces he is resigning but remains on in this position to a point outside this market's timeframe, the announcement will still qualify for an immediate "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Justin Trudeau or the Liberal Party of Canada, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

已提议结果: Yes

无争议

最终结果: Yes

警惕外部链接哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Justin Trudeau out as leader of Liberals before April?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 100% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 100¢, the market collectively assigns a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Justin Trudeau out as leader of Liberals before April?" has generated $62.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 16, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Justin Trudeau out as leader of Liberals before April?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Justin Trudeau out as leader of Liberals before April?" is 100% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Justin Trudeau out as leader of Liberals before April?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.