Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Cerebras and SpaceX initial public offerings before 2027 at 92% and 90% implied probabilities, respectively, fueled by credible reports of Cerebras advancing toward a mid-2026 listing amid AI chip demand and SpaceX's imminent confidential S-1 filing targeting a June debut at over $1.75 trillion valuation. OpenAI's landmark $852 billion funding round closure this week elevates AI sector hype but caps its odds at 38% due to profitability uncertainties and regulatory scrutiny on large language models. Anthropic's $19 billion revenue run-rate and Q4 IPO discussions lift its share to 44%, while Databricks and Stripe lag below 40% amid competitive enterprise software dynamics. Watch SpaceX regulatory milestones and upcoming AI earnings for sentiment catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$5,269,482 交易量
2026-12-31
Cerebras
91%
SpaceX
91%
Discord
60%
Databricks
51%
WHOOP
50%
Deel
38%
Ledger
39%
Anthropic
38%
OpenAI
36%
Canva
31%
远程
32%
Celonis
28%
Anduril Industries
25%
SHEIN
25%
Epic Games
24%
瑞波实验室
24%
字节跳动
23%
Ramp
22%
Freddie Mac
22%
Waymo
16%
Applied Intuition
21%
Vanta
20%
Rippling
19%
Anysphere（Cursor）
18%
Anduril
18%
Mistral AI
17%
Revolut
24%
房利美
14%
Glean
13%
Stripe
13%
Brex
8%
$5,269,482 交易量
Cerebras
$277,181 交易量
91%
SpaceX
$448,997 交易量
91%
Discord
$423,829 交易量
60%
Databricks
$445,523 交易量
51%
WHOOP
$0 交易量
50%
Deel
$116,794 交易量
38%
Ledger
$474,492 交易量
39%
Anthropic
$163,912 交易量
38%
OpenAI
$190,466 交易量
36%
Canva
$20,048 交易量
31%
远程
$51,111 交易量
32%
Celonis
$194,496 交易量
28%
Anduril Industries
$17,853 交易量
25%
SHEIN
$59,723 交易量
25%
Epic Games
$65,924 交易量
24%
瑞波实验室
$130,315 交易量
24%
字节跳动
$1,532 交易量
23%
Ramp
$136,101 交易量
22%
Freddie Mac
$223,811 交易量
22%
Waymo
$22,527 交易量
16%
Applied Intuition
$175,314 交易量
21%
Vanta
$109,119 交易量
20%
Rippling
$94,288 交易量
19%
Anysphere（Cursor）
$86,640 交易量
18%
Anduril
$316,826 交易量
18%
Mistral AI
$131,514 交易量
17%
Revolut
$35,314 交易量
24%
房利美
$131,360 交易量
14%
Glean
$42,642 交易量
13%
Stripe
$224,076 交易量
13%
Brex
$97,336 交易量
8%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company undergoes a merger, this will only qualify for a “No” resolution if the transaction results in the listed company being fully absorbed, dissolved, or otherwise no longer capable of independently conducting an Initial Public Offering. Transactions in which the listed company continues as a parent or successor will not alone qualify for a “No” resolution.
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Cerebras and SpaceX initial public offerings before 2027 at 92% and 90% implied probabilities, respectively, fueled by credible reports of Cerebras advancing toward a mid-2026 listing amid AI chip demand and SpaceX's imminent confidential S-1 filing targeting a June debut at over $1.75 trillion valuation. OpenAI's landmark $852 billion funding round closure this week elevates AI sector hype but caps its odds at 38% due to profitability uncertainties and regulatory scrutiny on large language models. Anthropic's $19 billion revenue run-rate and Q4 IPO discussions lift its share to 44%, while Databricks and Stripe lag below 40% amid competitive enterprise software dynamics. Watch SpaceX regulatory milestones and upcoming AI earnings for sentiment catalysts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Nov 12, 2025, 4:27 PM ET
交易量
$5,269,482结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 12, 2025, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company undergoes a merger, this will only qualify for a “No” resolution if the transaction results in the listed company being fully absorbed, dissolved, or otherwise no longer capable of independently conducting an Initial Public Offering. Transactions in which the listed company continues as a parent or successor will not alone qualify for a “No” resolution.
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Cerebras and SpaceX initial public offerings before 2027 at 92% and 90% implied probabilities, respectively, fueled by credible reports of Cerebras advancing toward a mid-2026 listing amid AI chip demand and SpaceX's imminent confidential S-1 filing targeting a June debut at over $1.75 trillion valuation. OpenAI's landmark $852 billion funding round closure this week elevates AI sector hype but caps its odds at 38% due to profitability uncertainties and regulatory scrutiny on large language models. Anthropic's $19 billion revenue run-rate and Q4 IPO discussions lift its share to 44%, while Databricks and Stripe lag below 40% amid competitive enterprise software dynamics. Watch SpaceX regulatory milestones and upcoming AI earnings for sentiment catalysts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$5,269,482结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 12, 2025, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Cerebras and SpaceX initial public offerings before 2027 at 92% and 90% implied probabilities, respectively, fueled by credible reports of Cerebras advancing toward a mid-2026 listing amid AI chip demand and SpaceX's imminent confidential S-1 filing targeting a June debut at over $1.75 trillion valuation. OpenAI's landmark $852 billion funding round closure this week elevates AI sector hype but caps its odds at 38% due to profitability uncertainties and regulatory scrutiny on large language models. Anthropic's $19 billion revenue run-rate and Q4 IPO discussions lift its share to 44%, while Databricks and Stripe lag below 40% amid competitive enterprise software dynamics. Watch SpaceX regulatory milestones and upcoming AI earnings for sentiment catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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