The primary driver behind the 49.5% implied probability for no IPO before 2028 is CEO Aravind Srinivas’s March 2025 statement that Perplexity has sufficient private capital and no plans to go public earlier, reinforced by its September 2025 Series E round that secured a $20 billion valuation with backing from investors including SoftBank and Accel. Recent revenue growth to $500 million annualized by April 2026 has strengthened the company’s ability to remain private while competing in the AI search space against larger players using large language models for real-time answers. Traders appear to weigh this against typical late-stage AI startup timelines, where strong private-market access often delays listings. Potential catalysts include any shift in capital availability or competitive pressure that could accelerate an earlier filing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于2028年前不会IPO 50%
500亿–750亿 12.3%
750亿–1000亿 10.1%
低于 200 亿 6.9%
$140,032 交易量
$140,032 交易量
2027-12-31
低于 200 亿
7%
200亿–300亿
5%
300亿–400亿
6%
400 亿–500 亿
9%
500亿–750亿
12%
750亿–1000亿
10%
1000 亿+
6%
2028年前不会IPO
50%
2028年前不会IPO 50%
500亿–750亿 12.3%
750亿–1000亿 10.1%
低于 200 亿 6.9%
$140,032 交易量
$140,032 交易量
2027-12-31
低于 200 亿
$4,474 交易量
7%
200亿–300亿
$5,889 交易量
5%
300亿–400亿
$4,389 交易量
6%
400 亿–500 亿
$4,218 交易量
9%
500亿–750亿
$6,240 交易量
12%
750亿–1000亿
$3,386 交易量
10%
1000 亿+
$4,937 交易量
6%
2028年前不会IPO
$106,499 交易量
50%
This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.The primary driver behind the 49.5% implied probability for no IPO before 2028 is CEO Aravind Srinivas’s March 2025 statement that Perplexity has sufficient private capital and no plans to go public earlier, reinforced by its September 2025 Series E round that secured a $20 billion valuation with backing from investors including SoftBank and Accel. Recent revenue growth to $500 million annualized by April 2026 has strengthened the company’s ability to remain private while competing in the AI search space against larger players using large language models for real-time answers. Traders appear to weigh this against typical late-stage AI startup timelines, where strong private-market access often delays listings. Potential catalysts include any shift in capital availability or competitive pressure that could accelerate an earlier filing.
This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
市场开放时间： Jan 5, 2026, 6:06 PM ET
交易量
$140,032结束日期
2027-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 5, 2026, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.The primary driver behind the 49.5% implied probability for no IPO before 2028 is CEO Aravind Srinivas’s March 2025 statement that Perplexity has sufficient private capital and no plans to go public earlier, reinforced by its September 2025 Series E round that secured a $20 billion valuation with backing from investors including SoftBank and Accel. Recent revenue growth to $500 million annualized by April 2026 has strengthened the company’s ability to remain private while competing in the AI search space against larger players using large language models for real-time answers. Traders appear to weigh this against typical late-stage AI startup timelines, where strong private-market access often delays listings. Potential catalysts include any shift in capital availability or competitive pressure that could accelerate an earlier filing.
This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
交易量
$140,032结束日期
2027-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 5, 2026, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The primary driver behind the 49.5% implied probability for no IPO before 2028 is CEO Aravind Srinivas’s March 2025 statement that Perplexity has sufficient private capital and no plans to go public earlier, reinforced by its September 2025 Series E round that secured a $20 billion valuation with backing from investors including SoftBank and Accel. Recent revenue growth to $500 million annualized by April 2026 has strengthened the company’s ability to remain private while competing in the AI search space against larger players using large language models for real-time answers. Traders appear to weigh this against typical late-stage AI startup timelines, where strong private-market access often delays listings. Potential catalysts include any shift in capital availability or competitive pressure that could accelerate an earlier filing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题