Lindsay James commands trader consensus at 61.5% implied probability to win the IA-02 Democratic primary on June 4, propelled by her sustained polling lead and fundraising dominance in recent weeks. The latest Emerson College poll (May 23-26) showed her at 44% versus Clint Twedt-Ball's 24%, bolstered by endorsements from EMILY's List and Iowa labor unions following strong debate showings. Twedt-Ball holds 31.5% on grassroots momentum and backing from progressive activists, while Kathy Dolter, Guy Morgan, and Don Primus lag due to lower name recognition and resources. Early voting is underway in this open-seat race, with turnout among urban and suburban Democrats pivotal ahead of election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于IA-02 Democratic Primary Winner
IA-02 Democratic Primary Winner
Lindsay James 62%
Clint Twedt-Ball 32%
Kathy Dolter 6%
Guy Morgan 3.3%
NEW
NEW
Jun 2, 2026
Lindsay James
62%
Clint Twedt-Ball
32%
Kathy Dolter
6%
Guy Morgan
3%
Don Primus
3%
Lindsay James 62%
Clint Twedt-Ball 32%
Kathy Dolter 6%
Guy Morgan 3.3%
NEW
NEW
Jun 2, 2026
Lindsay James
$0 交易量
62%
Clint Twedt-Ball
$915 交易量
32%
Kathy Dolter
$0 交易量
6%
Guy Morgan
$509 交易量
3%
Don Primus
$0 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市场开放时间： Feb 25, 2026, 6:19 PM ET
交易量
$1,424结束日期
Jun 2, 2026市场开放时间
Feb 25, 2026, 6:19 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$1,424结束日期
Jun 2, 2026市场开放时间
Feb 25, 2026, 6:19 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Lindsay James commands trader consensus at 61.5% implied probability to win the IA-02 Democratic primary on June 4, propelled by her sustained polling lead and fundraising dominance in recent weeks. The latest Emerson College poll (May 23-26) showed her at 44% versus Clint Twedt-Ball's 24%, bolstered by endorsements from EMILY's List and Iowa labor unions following strong debate showings. Twedt-Ball holds 31.5% on grassroots momentum and backing from progressive activists, while Kathy Dolter, Guy Morgan, and Don Primus lag due to lower name recognition and resources. Early voting is underway in this open-seat race, with turnout among urban and suburban Democrats pivotal ahead of election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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