Recent polling has shown Brad Lander, the former New York City comptroller, holding double-digit leads over incumbent Representative Dan Goldman in the June 23 Democratic primary for New York’s 10th congressional district. Multiple surveys released in May, including one showing Lander ahead by 34 points, have reinforced trader consensus around Lander’s position. Lander has drawn endorsements from progressive figures including Mayor Zohran Mamdani, while Goldman has received support from Governor Kathy Hochul and aligned super PACs. Other declared candidates such as Cameron Kasky, Alexa Avilés, and Yuh-Line Niou register minimal support in available data and have limited visibility in the race. The primary date remains the key near-term milestone that could still shift positioning before resolution.