Trader consensus in the Texas 18th congressional district Democratic primary heavily favors Harris County Attorney Christian Menefee at 69.5%, reflecting recent polls showing him leading incumbent Rep. Al Green by wide margins, such as a University of Houston survey with Menefee at 52% to Green's 31%. Menefee's advantages stem from superior fundraising, over $1 million raised versus Green's under $400,000, and strong local name recognition as county attorney handling high-profile cases. Green's long tenure since 2005 faces challenger momentum amid voter desire for change, while Amanda Edwards and Gretchen Brown trail far behind with minimal support. Early voting underway through March 1 could shift dynamics ahead of the March 5 primary, though outcomes remain fluid per historical primary volatility.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于克里斯蒂安·梅尼菲 69.5%
Al Green 25.5%
阿曼达·爱德华兹 <1%
格雷琴·布朗 <1%
$14,687 交易量
$14,687 交易量
克里斯蒂安·梅尼菲
69%
Al Green
29%
阿曼达·爱德华兹
<1%
格雷琴·布朗
<1%
克里斯蒂安·梅尼菲 69.5%
Al Green 25.5%
阿曼达·爱德华兹 <1%
格雷琴·布朗 <1%
$14,687 交易量
$14,687 交易量
克里斯蒂安·梅尼菲
69%
Al Green
29%
阿曼达·爱德华兹
<1%
格雷琴·布朗
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市场开放时间: Feb 4, 2026, 5:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus in the Texas 18th congressional district Democratic primary heavily favors Harris County Attorney Christian Menefee at 69.5%, reflecting recent polls showing him leading incumbent Rep. Al Green by wide margins, such as a University of Houston survey with Menefee at 52% to Green's 31%. Menefee's advantages stem from superior fundraising, over $1 million raised versus Green's under $400,000, and strong local name recognition as county attorney handling high-profile cases. Green's long tenure since 2005 faces challenger momentum amid voter desire for change, while Amanda Edwards and Gretchen Brown trail far behind with minimal support. Early voting underway through March 1 could shift dynamics ahead of the March 5 primary, though outcomes remain fluid per historical primary volatility.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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