South Carolina's selection as the first 2028 Democratic presidential primary on January 22 has elevated its role in shaping early momentum, yet the market remains tightly contested with no dominant contender. National polling shows Kamala Harris ahead overall, while prediction markets price lower probabilities for her alongside Jon Ossoff, Gavin Newsom, and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, reflecting uncertainty over who will enter and perform among the state's diverse electorate. The DNC's July-August 2026 calendar decision, prioritizing the state for its Black voter base, has drawn visits from potential candidates but has not produced clear separation this far from voting. Fragmented support, limited commitments from major figures, and the absence of recent high-profile endorsements or debates keep implied probabilities clustered at low levels, with shifts likely hinging on 2027 announcements, polling trends in early states, and turnout dynamics among key voting blocs.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于卡玛拉·哈里斯 13%
拉斐尔·沃诺克 13%
乔恩·奥索夫 10%
J.B. 普里茨克 8%
$12,544 交易量
$12,544 交易量
2028-01-22
卡玛拉·哈里斯
13%
拉斐尔·沃诺克
13%
乔恩·奥索夫
10%
J.B. 普里茨克
8%
亚历山大·奥卡西奥-科尔特斯
7%
乔恩·斯图尔特
6%
马克·凯利
6%
乔希·夏皮罗
5%
罗·卡纳
5%
科里·布克
5%
加文·纽森
5%
安迪·贝希尔
4%
韦斯·摩尔
4%
拉姆·伊曼纽尔
4%
斯蒂芬·A·史密斯
4%
米歇尔·奥巴马
6%
伯尼·桑德斯
2%
詹姆斯·塔拉里科
2%
罗伊·库珀
1%
皮特·布蒂吉格
1%
卡玛拉·哈里斯 13%
拉斐尔·沃诺克 13%
乔恩·奥索夫 10%
J.B. 普里茨克 8%
$12,544 交易量
$12,544 交易量
2028-01-22
卡玛拉·哈里斯
$5,814 交易量
13%
拉斐尔·沃诺克
$391 交易量
13%
乔恩·奥索夫
$175 交易量
10%
J.B. 普里茨克
$241 交易量
8%
亚历山大·奥卡西奥-科尔特斯
$281 交易量
7%
乔恩·斯图尔特
$257 交易量
6%
马克·凯利
$536 交易量
6%
乔希·夏皮罗
$151 交易量
5%
罗·卡纳
$156 交易量
5%
科里·布克
$372 交易量
5%
加文·纽森
$2,593 交易量
5%
安迪·贝希尔
$156 交易量
4%
韦斯·摩尔
$175 交易量
4%
拉姆·伊曼纽尔
$181 交易量
4%
斯蒂芬·A·史密斯
$146 交易量
4%
米歇尔·奥巴马
$121 交易量
6%
伯尼·桑德斯
$258 交易量
2%
詹姆斯·塔拉里科
$206 交易量
2%
罗伊·库珀
$156 交易量
1%
皮特·布蒂吉格
$178 交易量
1%
South Carolina is expected to hold its Democratic presidential primary for the 2028 presidential election on January 22, 2028.
This market will resolve to the candidate who wins the most votes in the South Carolina Democratic primary, caucus, or other official process by which the public directs the selection of delegates for the 2028 Democratic Convention.
If the relevant delegate selection process is a caucus or other multi-round process, the relevant vote count will be the final round vote count.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If no 2028 South Carolina primary, caucus, or comparable process takes place, or if the results are not definitively known by August 1, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the complete results from the South Carolina Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.South Carolina's selection as the first 2028 Democratic presidential primary on January 22 has elevated its role in shaping early momentum, yet the market remains tightly contested with no dominant contender. National polling shows Kamala Harris ahead overall, while prediction markets price lower probabilities for her alongside Jon Ossoff, Gavin Newsom, and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, reflecting uncertainty over who will enter and perform among the state's diverse electorate. The DNC's July-August 2026 calendar decision, prioritizing the state for its Black voter base, has drawn visits from potential candidates but has not produced clear separation this far from voting. Fragmented support, limited commitments from major figures, and the absence of recent high-profile endorsements or debates keep implied probabilities clustered at low levels, with shifts likely hinging on 2027 announcements, polling trends in early states, and turnout dynamics among key voting blocs.
South Carolina is expected to hold its Democratic presidential primary for the 2028 presidential election on January 22, 2028.
This market will resolve to the candidate who wins the most votes in the South Carolina Democratic primary, caucus, or other official process by which the public directs the selection of delegates for the 2028 Democratic Convention.
If the relevant delegate selection process is a caucus or other multi-round process, the relevant vote count will be the final round vote count.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If no 2028 South Carolina primary, caucus, or comparable process takes place, or if the results are not definitively known by August 1, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the complete results from the South Carolina Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve to the candidate who wins the most votes in the South Carolina Democratic primary, caucus, or other official process by which the public directs the selection of delegates for the 2028 Democratic Convention.
If the relevant delegate selection process is a caucus or other multi-round process, the relevant vote count will be the final round vote count.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If no 2028 South Carolina primary, caucus, or comparable process takes place, or if the results are not definitively known by August 1, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the complete results from the South Carolina Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
市场开放时间： Jul 30, 2026, 3:09 PM ET
交易量
$12,544结束日期
2028-01-22市场开放时间
Jul 30, 2026, 3:09 PM ETSouth Carolina is expected to hold its Democratic presidential primary for the 2028 presidential election on January 22, 2028.
This market will resolve to the candidate who wins the most votes in the South Carolina Democratic primary, caucus, or other official process by which the public directs the selection of delegates for the 2028 Democratic Convention.
If the relevant delegate selection process is a caucus or other multi-round process, the relevant vote count will be the final round vote count.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If no 2028 South Carolina primary, caucus, or comparable process takes place, or if the results are not definitively known by August 1, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the complete results from the South Carolina Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.South Carolina's selection as the first 2028 Democratic presidential primary on January 22 has elevated its role in shaping early momentum, yet the market remains tightly contested with no dominant contender. National polling shows Kamala Harris ahead overall, while prediction markets price lower probabilities for her alongside Jon Ossoff, Gavin Newsom, and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, reflecting uncertainty over who will enter and perform among the state's diverse electorate. The DNC's July-August 2026 calendar decision, prioritizing the state for its Black voter base, has drawn visits from potential candidates but has not produced clear separation this far from voting. Fragmented support, limited commitments from major figures, and the absence of recent high-profile endorsements or debates keep implied probabilities clustered at low levels, with shifts likely hinging on 2027 announcements, polling trends in early states, and turnout dynamics among key voting blocs.
South Carolina is expected to hold its Democratic presidential primary for the 2028 presidential election on January 22, 2028.
This market will resolve to the candidate who wins the most votes in the South Carolina Democratic primary, caucus, or other official process by which the public directs the selection of delegates for the 2028 Democratic Convention.
If the relevant delegate selection process is a caucus or other multi-round process, the relevant vote count will be the final round vote count.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If no 2028 South Carolina primary, caucus, or comparable process takes place, or if the results are not definitively known by August 1, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the complete results from the South Carolina Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve to the candidate who wins the most votes in the South Carolina Democratic primary, caucus, or other official process by which the public directs the selection of delegates for the 2028 Democratic Convention.
If the relevant delegate selection process is a caucus or other multi-round process, the relevant vote count will be the final round vote count.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If no 2028 South Carolina primary, caucus, or comparable process takes place, or if the results are not definitively known by August 1, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the complete results from the South Carolina Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$12,544结束日期
2028-01-22市场开放时间
Jul 30, 2026, 3:09 PM ETSouth Carolina's selection as the first 2028 Democratic presidential primary on January 22 has elevated its role in shaping early momentum, yet the market remains tightly contested with no dominant contender. National polling shows Kamala Harris ahead overall, while prediction markets price lower probabilities for her alongside Jon Ossoff, Gavin Newsom, and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, reflecting uncertainty over who will enter and perform among the state's diverse electorate. The DNC's July-August 2026 calendar decision, prioritizing the state for its Black voter base, has drawn visits from potential candidates but has not produced clear separation this far from voting. Fragmented support, limited commitments from major figures, and the absence of recent high-profile endorsements or debates keep implied probabilities clustered at low levels, with shifts likely hinging on 2027 announcements, polling trends in early states, and turnout dynamics among key voting blocs.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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