Ty Masterson secured the Republican nomination for Kansas governor in the August 4 primary with 43.2% of the vote in a seven-candidate field, producing a roughly 21-point margin over second-place finisher Philip Sarnecki. President Trump’s endorsement helped consolidate support among conservative primary voters and prompted at least one withdrawal, while the remaining candidates—businessman Sarnecki, Insurance Commissioner Vicki Schmidt, and Secretary of State Scott Schwab—split the balance of the vote. With results now certified at these levels and no active recounts or disputes altering the outcome, trader consensus reflects the completed primary tallies. Late certification adjustments or unforeseen legal challenges remain the only narrow paths that could shift the recorded margin.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于马斯特森 20–25% 100.0%
Masterson 25%+ <1%
马斯特森15–20% <1%
马斯特森10-15% <1%
$20,532 交易量
$20,532 交易量
2026-08-04
Masterson 25%+
否
马斯特森 20–25%
是
马斯特森15–20%
否
马斯特森10-15%
否
马斯特森5-10%
否
马斯特森 <5%
否
萨内茨基 <5%
否
萨尔内茨基 5–10%
否
萨尔内茨基10%+
否
马斯特森 20–25% 100.0%
Masterson 25%+ <1%
马斯特森15–20% <1%
马斯特森10-15% <1%
$20,532 交易量
$20,532 交易量
2026-08-04
Masterson 25%+
$6,973 交易量
否
马斯特森 20–25%
$2,667 交易量
是
马斯特森15–20%
$1,259 交易量
否
马斯特森10-15%
$1,565 交易量
否
马斯特森5-10%
$1,122 交易量
否
马斯特森 <5%
$2,645 交易量
否
萨内茨基 <5%
$2,373 交易量
否
萨尔内茨基 5–10%
$943 交易量
否
萨尔内茨基10%+
$986 交易量
否
The Kansas Gubernatorial Republican primary election will be held on August 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Kansas Gubernatorial Republican primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Kansas, such as official statewide results published by the Kansas Secretary of State (https://sos.ks.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Ty Masterson secured the Republican nomination for Kansas governor in the August 4 primary with 43.2% of the vote in a seven-candidate field, producing a roughly 21-point margin over second-place finisher Philip Sarnecki. President Trump’s endorsement helped consolidate support among conservative primary voters and prompted at least one withdrawal, while the remaining candidates—businessman Sarnecki, Insurance Commissioner Vicki Schmidt, and Secretary of State Scott Schwab—split the balance of the vote. With results now certified at these levels and no active recounts or disputes altering the outcome, trader consensus reflects the completed primary tallies. Late certification adjustments or unforeseen legal challenges remain the only narrow paths that could shift the recorded margin.
The Kansas Gubernatorial Republican primary election will be held on August 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Kansas Gubernatorial Republican primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Kansas, such as official statewide results published by the Kansas Secretary of State (https://sos.ks.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Kansas Gubernatorial Republican primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Kansas, such as official statewide results published by the Kansas Secretary of State (https://sos.ks.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
市场开放时间： Jul 28, 2026, 9:35 PM ET
交易量
$20,532结束日期
2026-08-04市场开放时间
Jul 28, 2026, 9:35 PM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The Kansas Gubernatorial Republican primary election will be held on August 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Kansas Gubernatorial Republican primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Kansas, such as official statewide results published by the Kansas Secretary of State (https://sos.ks.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Ty Masterson secured the Republican nomination for Kansas governor in the August 4 primary with 43.2% of the vote in a seven-candidate field, producing a roughly 21-point margin over second-place finisher Philip Sarnecki. President Trump’s endorsement helped consolidate support among conservative primary voters and prompted at least one withdrawal, while the remaining candidates—businessman Sarnecki, Insurance Commissioner Vicki Schmidt, and Secretary of State Scott Schwab—split the balance of the vote. With results now certified at these levels and no active recounts or disputes altering the outcome, trader consensus reflects the completed primary tallies. Late certification adjustments or unforeseen legal challenges remain the only narrow paths that could shift the recorded margin.
The Kansas Gubernatorial Republican primary election will be held on August 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Kansas Gubernatorial Republican primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Kansas, such as official statewide results published by the Kansas Secretary of State (https://sos.ks.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Kansas Gubernatorial Republican primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Kansas, such as official statewide results published by the Kansas Secretary of State (https://sos.ks.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
交易量
$20,532结束日期
2026-08-04市场开放时间
Jul 28, 2026, 9:35 PM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Ty Masterson secured the Republican nomination for Kansas governor in the August 4 primary with 43.2% of the vote in a seven-candidate field, producing a roughly 21-point margin over second-place finisher Philip Sarnecki. President Trump’s endorsement helped consolidate support among conservative primary voters and prompted at least one withdrawal, while the remaining candidates—businessman Sarnecki, Insurance Commissioner Vicki Schmidt, and Secretary of State Scott Schwab—split the balance of the vote. With results now certified at these levels and no active recounts or disputes altering the outcome, trader consensus reflects the completed primary tallies. Late certification adjustments or unforeseen legal challenges remain the only narrow paths that could shift the recorded margin.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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