Jeff Hurd commands 97% implied probability in the CO-03 Republican primary market due to his dominant position in the latest pre-election polls, including the Emerson College survey from June 17-20 showing him at 47% against Deborah Flora's 19% and Ron Hanks' 13%, coupled with superior fundraising exceeding $1.5 million and key endorsements from state GOP figures. With the June 25 primary imminent, traders' skin-in-the-game consensus prices in Hurd's path to victory in this open seat race following incumbent Ken Buck's early retirement announcement. Hope Scheppelman trails far behind at under 4% in surveys. Upsets remain possible via unexpected turnout surges for underdogs, voting irregularities, or last-minute scandals, though structural advantages heavily favor Hurd.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于NEW
NEW
Jun 30, 2026
杰夫·赫德
97%
霍普·舍佩尔曼
1%
NEW
NEW
Jun 30, 2026
杰夫·赫德
$0 交易量
97%
霍普·舍佩尔曼
$0 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the CO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 30, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the CO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 30, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the CO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 30, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the CO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 30, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市场开放时间： Feb 25, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
Jun 30, 2026市场开放时间
Feb 25, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the CO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 30, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the CO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 30, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$0结束日期
Jun 30, 2026市场开放时间
Feb 25, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Jeff Hurd commands 97% implied probability in the CO-03 Republican primary market due to his dominant position in the latest pre-election polls, including the Emerson College survey from June 17-20 showing him at 47% against Deborah Flora's 19% and Ron Hanks' 13%, coupled with superior fundraising exceeding $1.5 million and key endorsements from state GOP figures. With the June 25 primary imminent, traders' skin-in-the-game consensus prices in Hurd's path to victory in this open seat race following incumbent Ken Buck's early retirement announcement. Hope Scheppelman trails far behind at under 4% in surveys. Upsets remain possible via unexpected turnout surges for underdogs, voting irregularities, or last-minute scandals, though structural advantages heavily favor Hurd.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题