Market icon

How many SpaceX launches in 2025?

Market icon

How many SpaceX launches in 2025?

160-179 100.0%

小于100 <1%

100-119 <1%

120-139 <1%

Polymarket

$507,118 交易量

160-179 100.0%

小于100 <1%

100-119 <1%

120-139 <1%

Polymarket

$507,118 交易量

小于100

$12,837 交易量

100-119

$32,897 交易量

120-139

$27,240 交易量

140-159

$61,588 交易量

160-179

$88,574 交易量

分组项标题:180-199

$103,113 交易量

200 次及以上

$180,870 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceX has between 100 (inclusive) and 119 (inclusive) launches in 2025. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."

The resolution source is the FAA, specifically the number shown next to SpaceX when 2025 is selected here https://www.faa.gov/data_research/commercial_space_data.
交易量
$507,118
结束日期
Dec 31, 2025
市场开放时间
Dec 30, 2024, 10:45 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceX has between 100 (inclusive) and 119 (inclusive) launches in 2025. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source is the FAA, specifically the number shown next to SpaceX when 2025 is selected here https://www.faa.gov/data_research/commercial_space_data.

已提议结果: 否

无争议

最终结果: 否

警惕外部链接哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"How many SpaceX launches in 2025?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "160-179" at 100%, followed by "小于100" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "How many SpaceX launches in 2025?" has generated $507.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 30, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "How many SpaceX launches in 2025?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "How many SpaceX launches in 2025?" is "160-179" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "小于100" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "How many SpaceX launches in 2025?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.