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政府关闭将持续多长时间?

5 days

$11,223,376 交易量

Mar 31, 2026

规则

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the government is shut down for the listed number of days, inclusive of the beginning and ending dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying government shutdown will be defined as having begun when the Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announces that the U.S. federal government is shut down due to a lapse in appropriations.

The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the government is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.

Partial shutdowns count as shutdowns; announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather do not qualify as a shutdown.

If no qualifying shutdown begins by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be OPM’s Operating Status page (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/), information from official U.S. Government sources, and a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$11,223,376
结束日期
Mar 31, 2026
创建于
Jan 30, 2026, 12:55 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the government is shut down for the listed number of days, inclusive of the beginning and ending dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying government shutdown will be defined as having begun when the Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announces that the U.S. federal government is shut down due to a lapse in appropriations. The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the government is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. Partial shutdowns count as shutdowns; announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather do not qualify as a shutdown. If no qualifying shutdown begins by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be OPM’s Operating Status page (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/), information from official U.S. Government sources, and a consensus of credible reporting.

已提议结果: 是

无争议

最终结果: 是

注意外部链接。

Market icon

政府关闭将持续多长时间?

5 days

$11,223,376 交易量

4天以上

$1,879,265 交易量

98%

5天以上

$774,990 交易量

46%

6天以上

$61,396 交易量

20%

7天以上

$1,046,941 交易量

11%

10天以上

$316,968 交易量

5%

14天以上

$684,632 交易量

4%

30天以上

$595,394 交易量

1%

60天以上

$288,195 交易量

1%

关于

交易量
$11,223,376
结束日期
Mar 31, 2026
创建于
Jan 30, 2026, 12:55 PM ET

注意外部链接。