Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature reaching exactly 20°C today at Tianhe International Airport, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) guidance projecting a daytime high of 14–21°C under persistent overcast skies and light northerly winds, corroborated by GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts converging tightly around 20°C. Current hourly observations from morning through midday—peaking near 17–19°C amid dense cloud cover—reinforce this positioning, consistent with early April climatology where average highs hover near 21°C but synoptic cooling suppresses peaks. Realistic challenges include brief afternoon cloud breaks allowing solar heating to nudge readings to 21°C, though model uncertainty bands remain narrow; final official data from CMA monitoring will resolve post-local midnight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 3?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 3?
20°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$88,833 交易量
$88,833 交易量
2026-04-03
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$88,833 交易量
$88,833 交易量
2026-04-03
16°C or below
$3,187 交易量
No
17°C
$6,729 交易量
No
18°C
$8,395 交易量
No
19°C
$13,553 交易量
No
20°C
$12,018 交易量
Yes
21°C
$11,873 交易量
No
22°C
$8,157 交易量
No
23°C
$9,455 交易量
No
24°C
$9,492 交易量
No
25°C
$2,781 交易量
No
26°C or higher
$3,192 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature reaching exactly 20°C today at Tianhe International Airport, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) guidance projecting a daytime high of 14–21°C under persistent overcast skies and light northerly winds, corroborated by GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts converging tightly around 20°C. Current hourly observations from morning through midday—peaking near 17–19°C amid dense cloud cover—reinforce this positioning, consistent with early April climatology where average highs hover near 21°C but synoptic cooling suppresses peaks. Realistic challenges include brief afternoon cloud breaks allowing solar heating to nudge readings to 21°C, though model uncertainty bands remain narrow; final official data from CMA monitoring will resolve post-local midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 29, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
交易量
$88,833结束日期
2026-04-03市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 3:57 PM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature reaching exactly 20°C today at Tianhe International Airport, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) guidance projecting a daytime high of 14–21°C under persistent overcast skies and light northerly winds, corroborated by GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts converging tightly around 20°C. Current hourly observations from morning through midday—peaking near 17–19°C amid dense cloud cover—reinforce this positioning, consistent with early April climatology where average highs hover near 21°C but synoptic cooling suppresses peaks. Realistic challenges include brief afternoon cloud breaks allowing solar heating to nudge readings to 21°C, though model uncertainty bands remain narrow; final official data from CMA monitoring will resolve post-local midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$88,833结束日期
2026-04-03市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 3:57 PM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature reaching exactly 20°C today at Tianhe International Airport, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) guidance projecting a daytime high of 14–21°C under persistent overcast skies and light northerly winds, corroborated by GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts converging tightly around 20°C. Current hourly observations from morning through midday—peaking near 17–19°C amid dense cloud cover—reinforce this positioning, consistent with early April climatology where average highs hover near 21°C but synoptic cooling suppresses peaks. Realistic challenges include brief afternoon cloud breaks allowing solar heating to nudge readings to 21°C, though model uncertainty bands remain narrow; final official data from CMA monitoring will resolve post-local midnight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题