Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 25°C at 100% implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature on April 7, 2026, driven by converged short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models like ECMWF, alongside real-time observations at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport showing a midday peak of 25°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. Current high-pressure conditions over central China, typical for early spring, have capped solar heating, aligning with April climatological averages of 22–24°C highs but nudged higher by recent mild air masses. Realistic challenges include late-afternoon clearing allowing minor additional warming to 26°C or instrument microsite variations, though cooling trends post-3 PM reduce this risk; final airport data expected by midnight UTC.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 7?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 7?
25°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$73,475 交易量
$73,475 交易量
2026-04-07
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$73,475 交易量
$73,475 交易量
2026-04-07
21°C or below
$9,138 交易量
No
22°C
$9,271 交易量
No
23°C
$4,141 交易量
No
24°C
$6,905 交易量
No
25°C
$12,220 交易量
Yes
26°C
$6,958 交易量
No
27°C
$5,674 交易量
No
28°C
$5,058 交易量
No
29°C
$4,201 交易量
No
30°C
$5,929 交易量
No
31°C or higher
$3,979 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 25°C at 100% implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature on April 7, 2026, driven by converged short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models like ECMWF, alongside real-time observations at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport showing a midday peak of 25°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. Current high-pressure conditions over central China, typical for early spring, have capped solar heating, aligning with April climatological averages of 22–24°C highs but nudged higher by recent mild air masses. Realistic challenges include late-afternoon clearing allowing minor additional warming to 26°C or instrument microsite variations, though cooling trends post-3 PM reduce this risk; final airport data expected by midnight UTC.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 3, 2026, 6:09 AM ET
交易量
$73,475结束日期
2026-04-07市场开放时间
Apr 3, 2026, 6:09 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 25°C at 100% implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature on April 7, 2026, driven by converged short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models like ECMWF, alongside real-time observations at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport showing a midday peak of 25°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. Current high-pressure conditions over central China, typical for early spring, have capped solar heating, aligning with April climatological averages of 22–24°C highs but nudged higher by recent mild air masses. Realistic challenges include late-afternoon clearing allowing minor additional warming to 26°C or instrument microsite variations, though cooling trends post-3 PM reduce this risk; final airport data expected by midnight UTC.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$73,475结束日期
2026-04-07市场开放时间
Apr 3, 2026, 6:09 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 25°C at 100% implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature on April 7, 2026, driven by converged short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models like ECMWF, alongside real-time observations at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport showing a midday peak of 25°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. Current high-pressure conditions over central China, typical for early spring, have capped solar heating, aligning with April climatological averages of 22–24°C highs but nudged higher by recent mild air masses. Realistic challenges include late-afternoon clearing allowing minor additional warming to 26°C or instrument microsite variations, though cooling trends post-3 PM reduce this risk; final airport data expected by midnight UTC.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题