MetService observations from the Kelburn Automatic Weather Station confirm Wellington's highest temperature reached 19°C earlier today, March 29, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome. Persistent overcast skies, current readings around 17-18°C, falling barometric pressure, and an approaching frontal system delivering evening showers align with ensemble forecast models, preventing further warming. This positioning reflects robust observational data and model agreement, consistent with March climatology where daily highs average near 19°C. A realistic challenge would require an improbable late-day cloud break enabling brief solar heating above 20°C, though monitoring until midnight will finalize resolution via official records.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Wellington on March 29?
Highest temperature in Wellington on March 29?
19°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$316,749 交易量
$316,749 交易量
2026-03-29
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
19°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$316,749 交易量
$316,749 交易量
2026-03-29
13°C or below
$15,567 交易量
No
14°C
$125,292 交易量
No
15°C
$25,903 交易量
No
16°C
$14,635 交易量
No
17°C
$14,595 交易量
No
18°C
$19,312 交易量
No
19°C
$37,916 交易量
Yes
20°C
$21,778 交易量
No
21°C
$17,726 交易量
No
22°C
$12,333 交易量
No
23°C or higher
$11,692 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService observations from the Kelburn Automatic Weather Station confirm Wellington's highest temperature reached 19°C earlier today, March 29, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome. Persistent overcast skies, current readings around 17-18°C, falling barometric pressure, and an approaching frontal system delivering evening showers align with ensemble forecast models, preventing further warming. This positioning reflects robust observational data and model agreement, consistent with March climatology where daily highs average near 19°C. A realistic challenge would require an improbable late-day cloud break enabling brief solar heating above 20°C, though monitoring until midnight will finalize resolution via official records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
交易量
$316,749结束日期
2026-03-29市场开放时间
Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService observations from the Kelburn Automatic Weather Station confirm Wellington's highest temperature reached 19°C earlier today, March 29, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome. Persistent overcast skies, current readings around 17-18°C, falling barometric pressure, and an approaching frontal system delivering evening showers align with ensemble forecast models, preventing further warming. This positioning reflects robust observational data and model agreement, consistent with March climatology where daily highs average near 19°C. A realistic challenge would require an improbable late-day cloud break enabling brief solar heating above 20°C, though monitoring until midnight will finalize resolution via official records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$316,749结束日期
2026-03-29市场开放时间
Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
MetService observations from the Kelburn Automatic Weather Station confirm Wellington's highest temperature reached 19°C earlier today, March 29, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome. Persistent overcast skies, current readings around 17-18°C, falling barometric pressure, and an approaching frontal system delivering evening showers align with ensemble forecast models, preventing further warming. This positioning reflects robust observational data and model agreement, consistent with March climatology where daily highs average near 19°C. A realistic challenge would require an improbable late-day cloud break enabling brief solar heating above 20°C, though monitoring until midnight will finalize resolution via official records.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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