MetService's latest extended forecast, updated this morning, projects a 19°C high for Wellington International Airport on April 8 under showers clearing to partly cloudy skies with northerlies, down slightly from yesterday's 20°C call amid evolving frontal timing. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 19–21°C (22–24% implied probabilities each), mirroring ensemble spread in GFS and ECMWF models where subtle variations in morning cloud cover, northerly wind strength, and post-shower insolation could tip the peak by 1–2°C. This above-autumn-normal outlook (historical April highs average 17°C) underscores short-range uncertainty typical of Wellington's variable marine climate, with evening forecast revisions and fresh model runs poised to sharpen consensus before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Wellington on April 8?
Highest temperature in Wellington on April 8?
21°C 24%
20°C 21%
22°C or higher 19.6%
19°C 20%
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
2%
17°C
5%
18°C
15%
19°C
20%
20°C
21%
21°C
24%
22°C or higher
20%
21°C 24%
20°C 21%
22°C or higher 19.6%
19°C 20%
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
2%
17°C
5%
18°C
15%
19°C
20%
20°C
21%
21°C
24%
22°C or higher
20%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
MetService's latest extended forecast, updated this morning, projects a 19°C high for Wellington International Airport on April 8 under showers clearing to partly cloudy skies with northerlies, down slightly from yesterday's 20°C call amid evolving frontal timing. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 19–21°C (22–24% implied probabilities each), mirroring ensemble spread in GFS and ECMWF models where subtle variations in morning cloud cover, northerly wind strength, and post-shower insolation could tip the peak by 1–2°C. This above-autumn-normal outlook (historical April highs average 17°C) underscores short-range uncertainty typical of Wellington's variable marine climate, with evening forecast revisions and fresh model runs poised to sharpen consensus before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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