Japan Meteorological Agency observations at Tokyo's Haneda Airport station—the market's official resolution source—confirm the highest temperature on April 1, 2026, peaked at 17°C amid overcast skies and a cool spring air mass that suppressed daytime heating, aligning with pre-event forecast model consensus from JMA's MSM and global ensembles like GFS and ECMWF projecting highs near 17–18°C. This observational data, finalized from hourly surface measurements, drives the 100% trader consensus, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in prediction markets where real capital incentivizes accuracy. Historical April 1 normals for Tokyo hover around 17–19°C, making this outcome climatologically typical. Realistic challenges are minimal post-observation, though rare post hoc revisions from quality control could theoretically adjust the record if anomalous sensor data emerges.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 1?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 1?
17°C 100.0%
18°C <1%
19°C or higher <1%
$248,314 交易量
$248,314 交易量
2026-04-01
17°C
100%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
17°C 100.0%
18°C <1%
19°C or higher <1%
$248,314 交易量
$248,314 交易量
2026-04-01
17°C
$61,220 交易量
100%
18°C
$28,708 交易量
<1%
19°C or higher
$40,398 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency observations at Tokyo's Haneda Airport station—the market's official resolution source—confirm the highest temperature on April 1, 2026, peaked at 17°C amid overcast skies and a cool spring air mass that suppressed daytime heating, aligning with pre-event forecast model consensus from JMA's MSM and global ensembles like GFS and ECMWF projecting highs near 17–18°C. This observational data, finalized from hourly surface measurements, drives the 100% trader consensus, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in prediction markets where real capital incentivizes accuracy. Historical April 1 normals for Tokyo hover around 17–19°C, making this outcome climatologically typical. Realistic challenges are minimal post-observation, though rare post hoc revisions from quality control could theoretically adjust the record if anomalous sensor data emerges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 29, 2026, 2:43 PM ET
交易量
$248,314结束日期
2026-04-01市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 2:43 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency observations at Tokyo's Haneda Airport station—the market's official resolution source—confirm the highest temperature on April 1, 2026, peaked at 17°C amid overcast skies and a cool spring air mass that suppressed daytime heating, aligning with pre-event forecast model consensus from JMA's MSM and global ensembles like GFS and ECMWF projecting highs near 17–18°C. This observational data, finalized from hourly surface measurements, drives the 100% trader consensus, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in prediction markets where real capital incentivizes accuracy. Historical April 1 normals for Tokyo hover around 17–19°C, making this outcome climatologically typical. Realistic challenges are minimal post-observation, though rare post hoc revisions from quality control could theoretically adjust the record if anomalous sensor data emerges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$248,314结束日期
2026-04-01市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 2:43 PM ETJapan Meteorological Agency observations at Tokyo's Haneda Airport station—the market's official resolution source—confirm the highest temperature on April 1, 2026, peaked at 17°C amid overcast skies and a cool spring air mass that suppressed daytime heating, aligning with pre-event forecast model consensus from JMA's MSM and global ensembles like GFS and ECMWF projecting highs near 17–18°C. This observational data, finalized from hourly surface measurements, drives the 100% trader consensus, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in prediction markets where real capital incentivizes accuracy. Historical April 1 normals for Tokyo hover around 17–19°C, making this outcome climatologically typical. Realistic challenges are minimal post-observation, though rare post hoc revisions from quality control could theoretically adjust the record if anomalous sensor data emerges.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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