Global forecast ensembles from ECMWF and GFS models project Shanghai's highest temperature on April 6 near 23-25°C, driving the tight trader consensus split between 24°C (31%) and 23°C (28%), with 25°C at 15.5%. This reflects recovery from a cool frontal passage on April 3, which brought heavy rain, clouds, and highs limited to 16-17°C, now giving way to a persistent subtropical high steering warm, southerly flow and clearer skies. Differentiating factors include model disagreements on afternoon cloud cover and boundary layer heating—less insolation favors 23°C, while sunnier conditions could push to 24°C—amid above-normal April averages of 19-20°C. Traders await China Meteorological Administration's final short-range update and real-time observations from Shanghai's official Xujiahui station.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 6?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 6?
24°C 30%
23°C 29%
25°C 19%
22°C 9%
$47,322 交易量
$47,322 交易量
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
9%
23°C
29%
24°C
30%
25°C
19%
26°C
5%
27°C or higher
2%
24°C 30%
23°C 29%
25°C 19%
22°C 9%
$47,322 交易量
$47,322 交易量
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
9%
23°C
29%
24°C
30%
25°C
19%
26°C
5%
27°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 2, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Global forecast ensembles from ECMWF and GFS models project Shanghai's highest temperature on April 6 near 23-25°C, driving the tight trader consensus split between 24°C (31%) and 23°C (28%), with 25°C at 15.5%. This reflects recovery from a cool frontal passage on April 3, which brought heavy rain, clouds, and highs limited to 16-17°C, now giving way to a persistent subtropical high steering warm, southerly flow and clearer skies. Differentiating factors include model disagreements on afternoon cloud cover and boundary layer heating—less insolation favors 23°C, while sunnier conditions could push to 24°C—amid above-normal April averages of 19-20°C. Traders await China Meteorological Administration's final short-range update and real-time observations from Shanghai's official Xujiahui station.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题