Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 99.8% implied probability to an 80°F or higher high temperature in Denver on March 28, driven by preliminary National Weather Service observations at Denver International Airport (KDEN) confirming a peak well above this threshold amid an extraordinary March heat wave. This positioning stems from a persistent upper-level ridge fostering clear skies, intense solar heating, and downslope chinook winds off the Rockies—conditions that shattered multiple daily and monthly records earlier in the month, with highs reaching 87–88°F on March 25. NOAA model ensembles had accurately forecasted this warmth days prior. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc data revisions during official quality control audits, though clear meteorological conditions minimize sensor error risks; final CLI report expected today.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Denver on March 28?
Highest temperature in Denver on March 28?
80°F or higher 99.8%
$49,677 交易量
$49,677 交易量
Mar 28, 2026
80°F or higher
100%
80°F or higher 99.8%
$49,677 交易量
$49,677 交易量
Mar 28, 2026
80°F or higher
$11,760 交易量
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckly Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckly Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 99.8% implied probability to an 80°F or higher high temperature in Denver on March 28, driven by preliminary National Weather Service observations at Denver International Airport (KDEN) confirming a peak well above this threshold amid an extraordinary March heat wave. This positioning stems from a persistent upper-level ridge fostering clear skies, intense solar heating, and downslope chinook winds off the Rockies—conditions that shattered multiple daily and monthly records earlier in the month, with highs reaching 87–88°F on March 25. NOAA model ensembles had accurately forecasted this warmth days prior. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc data revisions during official quality control audits, though clear meteorological conditions minimize sensor error risks; final CLI report expected today.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckly Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckly Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckly Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 24, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
交易量
$49,677结束日期
Mar 28, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 24, 2026, 6:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDENResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckly Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckly Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 99.8% implied probability to an 80°F or higher high temperature in Denver on March 28, driven by preliminary National Weather Service observations at Denver International Airport (KDEN) confirming a peak well above this threshold amid an extraordinary March heat wave. This positioning stems from a persistent upper-level ridge fostering clear skies, intense solar heating, and downslope chinook winds off the Rockies—conditions that shattered multiple daily and monthly records earlier in the month, with highs reaching 87–88°F on March 25. NOAA model ensembles had accurately forecasted this warmth days prior. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc data revisions during official quality control audits, though clear meteorological conditions minimize sensor error risks; final CLI report expected today.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckly Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckly Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckly Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$49,677结束日期
Mar 28, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 24, 2026, 6:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDENResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 99.8% implied probability to an 80°F or higher high temperature in Denver on March 28, driven by preliminary National Weather Service observations at Denver International Airport (KDEN) confirming a peak well above this threshold amid an extraordinary March heat wave. This positioning stems from a persistent upper-level ridge fostering clear skies, intense solar heating, and downslope chinook winds off the Rockies—conditions that shattered multiple daily and monthly records earlier in the month, with highs reaching 87–88°F on March 25. NOAA model ensembles had accurately forecasted this warmth days prior. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc data revisions during official quality control audits, though clear meteorological conditions minimize sensor error risks; final CLI report expected today.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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