Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a Chicago high temperature of 48-49°F at 48.5% implied probability, closely tracking the latest National Weather Service forecast of a high near 49°F under sunny skies and south southwest winds of 5-15 mph. This aligns with GFS and ECMWF ensemble model consensus centered around 49°F, following yesterday's cooler 45°F maximum at O'Hare amid cloudy conditions and gusty winds from a departing system. March climatological normals hover near 52°F, but lingering cool continental air and potential afternoon lake breeze off Lake Michigan introduce modest uncertainty, capping upside potential while favoring the 46-51°F cluster. Official hourly observations from NWS Chicago stations will track diurnal heating through sunset around 7:13 PM CDT, with final resolution from the daily climatological report.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Chicago on March 28?
Highest temperature in Chicago on March 28?
48-49°F 76%
46-47°F 37%
50-51°F 7%
52-53°F 2.8%
$134,102 交易量
$134,102 交易量
Mar 28, 2026
43°F or below
<1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
24%
48-49°F
76%
50-51°F
7%
52-53°F
3%
54-55°F
2%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
1%
62°F or higher
<1%
48-49°F 76%
46-47°F 37%
50-51°F 7%
52-53°F 2.8%
$134,102 交易量
$134,102 交易量
Mar 28, 2026
43°F or below
$25,572 交易量
<1%
44-45°F
$11,411 交易量
<1%
46-47°F
$8,221 交易量
24%
48-49°F
$7,507 交易量
76%
50-51°F
$6,566 交易量
7%
52-53°F
$9,104 交易量
3%
54-55°F
$11,768 交易量
2%
56-57°F
$10,750 交易量
1%
58-59°F
$12,840 交易量
1%
60-61°F
$6,545 交易量
1%
62°F or higher
$24,704 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a Chicago high temperature of 48-49°F at 48.5% implied probability, closely tracking the latest National Weather Service forecast of a high near 49°F under sunny skies and south southwest winds of 5-15 mph. This aligns with GFS and ECMWF ensemble model consensus centered around 49°F, following yesterday's cooler 45°F maximum at O'Hare amid cloudy conditions and gusty winds from a departing system. March climatological normals hover near 52°F, but lingering cool continental air and potential afternoon lake breeze off Lake Michigan introduce modest uncertainty, capping upside potential while favoring the 46-51°F cluster. Official hourly observations from NWS Chicago stations will track diurnal heating through sunset around 7:13 PM CDT, with final resolution from the daily climatological report.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
交易量
$134,102结束日期
Mar 28, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a Chicago high temperature of 48-49°F at 48.5% implied probability, closely tracking the latest National Weather Service forecast of a high near 49°F under sunny skies and south southwest winds of 5-15 mph. This aligns with GFS and ECMWF ensemble model consensus centered around 49°F, following yesterday's cooler 45°F maximum at O'Hare amid cloudy conditions and gusty winds from a departing system. March climatological normals hover near 52°F, but lingering cool continental air and potential afternoon lake breeze off Lake Michigan introduce modest uncertainty, capping upside potential while favoring the 46-51°F cluster. Official hourly observations from NWS Chicago stations will track diurnal heating through sunset around 7:13 PM CDT, with final resolution from the daily climatological report.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$134,102结束日期
Mar 28, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a Chicago high temperature of 48-49°F at 48.5% implied probability, closely tracking the latest National Weather Service forecast of a high near 49°F under sunny skies and south southwest winds of 5-15 mph. This aligns with GFS and ECMWF ensemble model consensus centered around 49°F, following yesterday's cooler 45°F maximum at O'Hare amid cloudy conditions and gusty winds from a departing system. March climatological normals hover near 52°F, but lingering cool continental air and potential afternoon lake breeze off Lake Michigan introduce modest uncertainty, capping upside potential while favoring the 46-51°F cluster. Official hourly observations from NWS Chicago stations will track diurnal heating through sunset around 7:13 PM CDT, with final resolution from the daily climatological report.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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